The Big Blue Annual 3 Weapon Open/Women's/Youth + Div 3 Saber

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, August 23, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Forge Fencing Academy & Club - Durham, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
2 BROWN Joshua (Josh) A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
3 RUSSELL James 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
3 DAVIS Andrew 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
5 AMOROSO John 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
6 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
7 WEIKEL Joel 100% 100% 95% 57% 14% -
8 BROWN Amanda 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
9 HAN Sam 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
10 MARX Leslie M. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
11 MALONE Jacob 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
12 KERKHOF Peter L. 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
13 DILDA Griffin 100% 95% 68% 23% 3% -
14 WHITE Taylor 100% 100% 98% 82% 38% 2%
15 DONNELLY Enzo 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 1%
16 NANAYAKKARA Damin 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
17 AZAD Ava 100% 98% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
18 STEPANIAN George 100% 93% 57% 18% 2% -
19 MEIER Nicholas M. 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
20 DUNSEATH Lauren M. 100% 100% 98% 73% 24% 2%
21 BENUCCI Vincent 100% 99% 70% 27% 5% -
22 SHELLY Emery 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 2%
23 JONES Jackson 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5%
24 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 9%
25 CARCATERRA Theodore 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
26 RAGSDALE Lillian 100% 44% 7% - - -
27 KARNAVAS William 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 10%
28 NOLAN Sophia 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
29 VERGARA Jace Riley 100% 69% 22% 3% - -
30 CUTHBERTSON Dax 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
31 GEISSLER Maximilian 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
32 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi 100% 75% 10% - - -
33 JULIEN Erica 100% 62% 14% 1% - -
34 STEELE Jeff 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
35 HARRIS Matthew T. 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 2%
36 LANIER Cody 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
37 HARRIS Lynn B. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.