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Event Results

Div I-A Men's Épée

Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYCSurprise Map

Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 8:00 AM Ontario Convention Center · Ontario, CA, USA
101 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 CHIRASHNYA Daniel V V V V V V V V V V V V 4.7 6 +1.3
2 BRISLAWN Reilly R. V V V V V V V V V V V D 5.4 6 +0.6
3 ERLIKHMAN Adrian V V V V V D V V V V D 4.6 5 +0.4
3 CHU Theodore V D V V V V V V V V D 2.0 5 +3.0
5 KIM Sullivan V V D V V V V V V D 5.3 5 -0.3
6 ROBINSON Samuel V V V D V V V V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
7 LIU Yueri D V V V V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
8 WANG Joey V V V D V D V V V V D 4.5 4 -0.5
9 WU Johnny y. V V V V V D V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
10 MCDANIELS Jeremy V D V V V V V V D 5.6 5 -0.6
11 PARK Sangwook V V V D V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
12 HERBRANDSON Luke V V V D V V V V D 2.7 5 +2.3
13 ZHENG Haoran D V D V V V V V V D 5.4 4 -1.4
14 MCLAREN Mason V V D V D V V V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
15 BOYCE Samuel H. V D D D V V V V V D 5.3 3 -2.3
16 KIM Remington D V D D D D V V V D 1.4 1 -0.4
17 KIM Alexander V V V V V V D 2.2 5 +2.8
18 WU Steven V V V V V V D 2.3 5 +2.7
19 SANKEY Levi V D V V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
20 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin V V V D V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
21 WONG Baron V V V D V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
22 KILUK Andrew V V V D V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
23 JAIN Samyak V V V D D V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
24 NORBUTAS Jackson S. V V D V D V V V D 5.5 4 -1.5
25 YU Austin D V V V V D V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
26 TOYOFUKU Ethan V V V D V D V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
27 ONG Jee Ken V D V V V D V V D 4.9 4 -0.9
28 FIECHTNER Thomas A. V V D V D V V D 4.0 3 -1.0
29 WANG owen V V D V D V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
30 GACIOCH Noah D V V V D D V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
31 LOUIE Joseph V D D V D V V D 1.8 2 +0.2
32 SIM Ian D D V V D D V V D 3.3 2 -1.3
33 LI Ethan R. V V V V V D 2.9 5 +2.1
34 YAO Geoffrey B. V V D V V V D 5.0 5 -
35 JOHNSTON Conner S. V V V V D V D 5.5 5 -0.5
36 KIM Jayden V V V V V D D 3.5 5 +1.5
37 MIAO KUNQI V V V D V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
38 BARRAZA Eduardo V D V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
39 PARKE Nathaniel V V V V V D D 2.5 5 +2.5
40 LITTLE Alex V V D V D V D 1.5 4 +2.5
41 VOO Lucas V V V D V D D 2.0 4 +2.0
42 CHARETTE Matthew V V D V V D V D 2.9 4 +1.1
43 LEHNER Brian V V V V D D V D 2.8 4 +1.2
44 AVETISIAN Alexander D D V V V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
45 CHANG Andrew D V V D V V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
46 DILLON Anik V V V D D V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
47 LEE Royce V D D V V V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
48 CHOI JJ V D V V D V V D 2.2 4 +1.8
49 KIM Sterling S. D D V V V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
50 LEE Jake (JiYuen) V D D V V D V D 3.3 3 -0.3
51 KIM Ian V D D V D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
52 WALLAK Jesse J. D V V D D V D 4.3 2 -2.3
52 MORIN-JIANG Jake V D D D V V D 2.0 2 -
54 LI Yunji (Rain) D V D D V V D 2.3 2 -0.3
55 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. V D D D V V D 1.6 2 +0.4
56 LIPTON Jason S. V D V D D V D 4.0 2 -2.0
57 ZHANG Austin D D D D V V V D 1.7 2 +0.3
58 MARTIN zachary D D V D V D V D 1.2 2 +0.8
59 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. D V V D D D V D 5.0 2 -3.0
59 ZAROTSKY Ronald V D D V D D V D 3.7 2 -1.7
61 SANKEY Luka V D D D D V V D 2.9 2 -0.9
62 LIANG Donny V D V D D D V D 2.5 2 -0.5
63 MENDOZA Zandro D D D D D V V D 3.4 1 -2.4
64 SCHWENK Cody D. D D D D D V D 1.2 0 -1.2
65 SARMIENTO Luke D D V V V V D 1.5 4 +2.5
66 COLLINS Vernon V V D V D D 2.2 3 +0.8
67 DONG Haiyi V V D D V D D 4.0 3 -1.0
68 FOWLER James A. D V D V D V D 4.2 3 -1.2
69 MAXU Tiger D D V D V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
70 MENG Haoyi V D D V V D D 1.5 3 +1.5
71 SAHAGIAN Izzy C. V D D D V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
72 LAURSEN Logan D V V V D D D 2.2 3 +0.8
73 CHENG Trevor D V D V D D 0.8 2 +1.2
74 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. D D V D V D 3.2 2 -1.2
75 CHEW Aedan D D V D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
76 NIXON Mark D D V V D D 3.5 2 -1.5
77 DU Yiwei D D V V D D D 1.6 2 +0.4
78 YOUNG Quentin D D V D V D D 1.4 2 +0.6
79 GADHVI Darius D V D V D D D 2.0 2 -
79 BERTEL Florian V D D D V D D 1.2 2 +0.8
81 GOROZA Eric D D D V D V D 2.5 2 -0.5
82 AU Marcus J. D D D V V D D 4.8 2 -2.8
83 SUROV Alexander D D D V D V D 1.2 2 +0.8
84 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios D D D V D D 1.4 1 -0.4
85 MANDEL Christian D V D D D D D 2.6 1 -1.6
86 WILLIAMS Timothy D V D D D D D 3.0 1 -2.0
87 YAMASAKI Kyle A. D D D D D V D 5.3 1 -4.3
88 XU Che D D D D D V D 2.2 1 -1.2
89 KRUGER Mark D D D D V D D 3.6 1 -2.6
90 COIMBATORE Dillon D D D V D D D 0.2 1 +0.8
91 ANDERSON Donald D D D V D D D 1.1 1 -0.1
92 COLE Perrin D D D D D D 0.7 0 -0.7
93 LI Sean D D D D D D D 0.7 0 -0.7
93 DENG Destin D D D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
95 RAHMAN Zayd D D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4
96 CHAO Warren D D D D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9
96 MARTIN Lucas D D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
98 QIAN Zhixu D D D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4
99 DENG Andes D D D D D D D 0.3 0 -0.3
100 BRACCO Cameron D D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
101 XUE Chenming D D D D D D D 2.0 0 -2.0

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%