Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - - 8% 31% 42% 18%
2 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
3 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - - 1% 10% 30% 41% 18%
3 CHU Theodore 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1% -
5 KIM Sullivan - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
6 ROBINSON Samuel - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
7 LIU Yueri - 3% 15% 36% 36% 11%
8 WANG Joey - - 2% 10% 33% 43% 11%
9 WU Johnny y. - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8% 1%
10 MCDANIELS Jeremy - - - - 5% 32% 62%
11 PARK Sangwook - - 3% 17% 40% 34% 6%
12 HERBRANDSON Luke 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
13 ZHENG Haoran - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
14 MCLAREN Mason 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
15 BOYCE Samuel H. - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
16 KIM Remington 13% 42% 38% 7% 1% - -
17 KIM Alexander 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
18 WU Steven 2% 19% 41% 30% 8% < 1%
19 SANKEY Levi - 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 4%
20 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin - - 5% 32% 42% 19% 3%
21 WONG Baron - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
22 KILUK Andrew - 1% 11% 31% 39% 17%
23 JAIN Samyak - 3% 17% 37% 31% 10% 1%
24 NORBUTAS Jackson S. - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
25 YU Austin - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 2%
26 TOYOFUKU Ethan - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
27 ONG Jee Ken - - - 5% 26% 44% 25%
28 FIECHTNER Thomas A. - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
29 WANG owen 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%
30 GACIOCH Noah 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
31 LOUIE Joseph 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% -
32 SIM Ian - 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 1%
33 LI Ethan R. 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
34 YAO Geoffrey B. - - - 3% 19% 51% 27%
35 JOHNSTON Conner S. - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
36 KIM Jayden - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
37 MIAO KUNQI - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 4%
38 BARRAZA Eduardo - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 3%
39 PARKE Nathaniel 1% 14% 36% 34% 13% 1% -
40 LITTLE Alex 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
41 VOO Lucas 3% 30% 40% 22% 5% 1% -
42 CHARETTE Matthew 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
43 LEHNER Brian 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
44 AVETISIAN Alexander - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
45 CHANG Andrew - 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
46 DILLON Anik - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
47 LEE Royce 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 7% 1%
48 CHOI JJ 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
49 KIM Sterling S. - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
50 LEE Jake (JiYuen) - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10% 1%
51 KIM Ian 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
52 WALLAK Jesse J. - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
52 MORIN-JIANG Jake 4% 28% 41% 23% 5% -
54 LI Yunji (Rain) 3% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
55 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 11% 37% 35% 14% 2% -
56 LIPTON Jason S. - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
57 ZHANG Austin 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
58 MARTIN zachary 21% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
59 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. - - < 1% 4% 19% 45% 32%
59 ZAROTSKY Ronald - 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
61 SANKEY Luka 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
62 LIANG Donny 1% 14% 36% 35% 13% 1% -
63 MENDOZA Zandro - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
64 SCHWENK Cody D. 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
65 SARMIENTO Luke 12% 40% 34% 12% 2% - -
66 COLLINS Vernon 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
67 DONG Haiyi - 1% 6% 24% 42% 25% 3%
68 FOWLER James A. - - 2% 21% 41% 29% 7%
69 MAXU Tiger 2% 22% 41% 28% 7% 1% -
70 MENG Haoyi 14% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
71 SAHAGIAN Izzy C. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
72 LAURSEN Logan 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
73 CHENG Trevor 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
74 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
75 CHEW Aedan 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
76 NIXON Mark - 2% 12% 33% 38% 16%
77 DU Yiwei 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
78 YOUNG Quentin 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
79 GADHVI Darius 7% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
79 BERTEL Florian 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
81 GOROZA Eric 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
82 AU Marcus J. - - 1% 6% 25% 45% 23%
83 SUROV Alexander 18% 47% 31% 4% - - -
84 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% -
85 MANDEL Christian 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2% -
86 WILLIAMS Timothy 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
87 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - < 1% - 1% 11% 44% 43%
88 XU Che 4% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
89 KRUGER Mark - 2% 12% 31% 36% 18% 3%
90 COIMBATORE Dillon 80% 18% 1% - - - -
91 ANDERSON Donald 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
92 COLE Perrin 45% 40% 13% 2% - -
93 LI Sean 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -
93 DENG Destin 37% 42% 18% 4% - - -
95 RAHMAN Zayd 68% 28% 4% - - -
96 CHAO Warren 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
96 MARTIN Lucas 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
98 QIAN Zhixu 64% 30% 6% 1% - - -
99 DENG Andes 73% 24% 3% - - - -
100 BRACCO Cameron 37% 46% 16% 1% - - -
101 XUE Chenming 6% 25% 36% 25% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.