Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YIP Allison - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
2 XU Aasta - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
3 WANG Nicole - - - - 6% 32% 62%
3 SUN Joanna - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
5 ARNOLD Evangeline - - - 2% 15% 43% 39%
6 KOU Cynthia - - - 3% 29% 63% 4%
7 MIAO Anthea - 1% 6% 25% 40% 25% 3%
8 LIAO irene - - - 5% 30% 64%
9 LYNTON Olivia - 2% 17% 50% 29% 2%
10 LU Chu - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
11 WANG Phoebe - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 6%
12 ZHAO Ellie - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
13 STEPHAN Antje Elisa - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
14 DEJOY Leilah 2% 13% 32% 36% 16% 2%
15 PARKE Jaime 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
16 HERNASA Elsa 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
17 VOO Evelyn - - 1% 10% 33% 41% 15%
18 RONG Hilary - - 1% 9% 32% 46% 13%
19 LYNTON Alexandra - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 3%
20 YU Jiaming - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
21 YANG Nina - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
22 KWAK Olivia 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
23 XIE Zhiran (Celine) 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
24 LEE Rebecca 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 2%
25 MARTYNOVA Veronica 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
26 MA Sloane 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
27 LI zoey 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
28 TOYOFUKU Evelyn 7% 28% 38% 22% 6% - -
29 WANG Kercedes Ye - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
30 MENDIRATTA Olivia 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
31 TRUONG Chloe - 5% 21% 36% 28% 8%
32 HAN Jimin Ellin - 1% 7% 31% 50% 12%
33 LI Celine 4% 23% 42% 27% 5% - -
34 CHONG Emma - 2% 14% 37% 34% 12% 1%
35 KUSHNERENKO Maiia 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
36 MUHLENBRUCH Cora 5% 29% 43% 19% 3% -
37 KEDAN Carmella 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
38 LIU Aubrey 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% - -
39 SCHWARTZMAN Avital 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
40 LEE Layla 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
41 YAO Astrid 52% 38% 10% 1% - -
42 YU Elise 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
43 LUO Xinyue 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% -
44 MUKKU Emily - 1% 8% 30% 40% 19% 3%
45 GUO Cecilia 5% 29% 43% 19% 3% - -
46 WANG Olivia 1% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
47 LA Evelyn 40% 43% 15% 2% - - -
48 FLESHER Mia 8% 40% 39% 12% 1% -
49 PUTTAMRAJU Nithya 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
50 WANG Elizabeth 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
51 YE Charlotte 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
52 YANG Emma 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
53 KANE Sloan - < 1% 2% 16% 40% 34% 8%
54 SHIH Eva 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
55 HWANG Faith Lael 32% 42% 21% 5% - -
56 CHU Brianna 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
57 SUN Annika 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
58 HONG Ellie 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
59 SHIH Cayla 15% 43% 33% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.