Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YIP Allison 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
2 XU Aasta 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 WANG Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
3 SUN Joanna 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
5 ARNOLD Evangeline 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
6 KOU Cynthia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 67% 4%
7 MIAO Anthea 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 3%
8 LIAO irene 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
9 LYNTON Olivia 100% 100% 98% 81% 31% 2%
10 LU Chu 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
11 WANG Phoebe 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
12 ZHAO Ellie 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
13 STEPHAN Antje Elisa 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
14 DEJOY Leilah 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
15 PARKE Jaime 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
16 HERNASA Elsa 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
17 VOO Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
18 RONG Hilary 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 13%
19 LYNTON Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 3%
20 YU Jiaming 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
21 YANG Nina 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
22 KWAK Olivia 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
23 XIE Zhiran (Celine) 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
24 LEE Rebecca 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
25 MARTYNOVA Veronica 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
26 MA Sloane 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
27 LI zoey 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
28 TOYOFUKU Evelyn 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% - -
29 WANG Kercedes Ye 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
30 MENDIRATTA Olivia 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
31 TRUONG Chloe 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
32 HAN Jimin Ellin 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 12%
33 LI Celine 100% 96% 74% 32% 5% - -
34 CHONG Emma 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1%
35 KUSHNERENKO Maiia 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
36 MUHLENBRUCH Cora 100% 95% 66% 22% 3% -
37 KEDAN Carmella 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% -
38 LIU Aubrey 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
39 SCHWARTZMAN Avital 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
40 LEE Layla 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
41 YAO Astrid 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
42 YU Elise 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
43 LUO Xinyue 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
44 MUKKU Emily 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 22% 3%
45 GUO Cecilia 100% 95% 65% 22% 3% - -
46 WANG Olivia 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
47 LA Evelyn 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
48 FLESHER Mia 100% 92% 52% 13% 1% -
49 PUTTAMRAJU Nithya 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
50 WANG Elizabeth 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
51 YE Charlotte 100% 65% 22% 3% - - -
52 YANG Emma 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
53 KANE Sloan 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 8%
54 SHIH Eva 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
55 HWANG Faith Lael 100% 68% 26% 5% - -
56 CHU Brianna 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
57 SUN Annika 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
58 HONG Ellie 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% - -
59 SHIH Cayla 100% 85% 42% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.