Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Jaden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
2 WEI Winston 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 34%
3 ONG Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
3 MURDOCK Koichi 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 8%
5 JACOB Ezra 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
6 TANG Brayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
7 WANG Waylon 100% 100% 99% 85% 42% 8%
8 LEONG Wilson Hua 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 3%
9 BIELER Mason 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
10 YEE Colin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
11 HUANG Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 4%
12 YANG Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
13 GUO Joey 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
14 WANG sicheng 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 16%
15 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
16 CROWDER Job christoph 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29% 4%
17 HE Ian 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
18 SANCHEZ MARTINEZ Victor Noel 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
19 GUO Austin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 19%
20 XU Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 6%
21 LIU Aiden 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
22 FOO Kingston 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% -
23 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
23 XU Ethan 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
25 WU Gengze (Daniel) 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
26 ZHANG Yankai 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
27 LI Aaron 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 13% 1%
28 EVANS Desmond 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61% 15%
29 DING Sam 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
30 DOUGLASS Liam 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
31 YANG Steve 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 19%
32 YUNG Brandon 100% 100% 91% 59% 21% 3%
33 AGARWAL Jagrav 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 10% -
34 MAO Runxian 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
35 DULAI Agam 100% 100% 95% 73% 28% 4% -
36 MA Justin 100% 99% 80% 39% 10% 1%
37 ULZIIBOLD Sean 100% 87% 47% 13% 2% -
38 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 9%
39 ALCAZAREN Cian 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 7%
40 PICACHE Crockett 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
41 CHEUNG Henry 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
42 WANG Eason 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 2%
43 HAGIWARA-MATIASEK Kazuma 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% 1%
44 SHENOY Neil 100% 99% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
45 JUNG Aaron 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
46 FALCONE Mateo 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% - -
47 CREMEL Remi 100% 98% 80% 39% 8%
48 NGUYEN Norris 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
49 LIN Sampson 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
50 PARK Kaiden 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 9%
51 SINGH Reyaansh 100% 98% 78% 30% 5% -
52 SCHOR William 100% 54% 11% 1% - -
53 LI Jake 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 1%
54 PARKS Maxwell 100% 82% 43% 14% 2% - -
55 WONG Connor 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
56 SEUL Maddox 100% 98% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
57 LEE Ian 100% 85% 49% 15% 2% - -
58 HO Cameron 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 2% -
59 SHAW Eames 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% - -
60 LEE Colin 100% 67% 22% 3% -
61 LI Lief 100% 78% 33% 6% -
62 CHENG Alvin 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% -
63 GU Evan 100% 97% 68% 26% 5% -
64 TAN Benjamin 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
65 NGUYEN Nolan 100% 77% 32% 6% - - -
66 LIU Landon 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
67 ZHANG Yuen 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
68 TEJAKUSUMA Eric 100% 94% 54% 16% 2% -
69 LITVACK Jackson 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
70 GOURLEY Jack 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
71 WARD MADS 100% 91% 56% 16% 2% - -
72 GOYAL Arie 100% 88% 44% 11% 1% - -
73 LIN Dylan 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
74 ROCHKIND Ethan 100% 97% 68% 26% 4% - -
74 SURIANO Dominic 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% - -
76 LO Enzo 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10% 1%
77 CABATO Luca 100% 75% 23% 2% - -
78 BHANGOO Arman 100% 75% 29% 5% - - -
79 LE Oliver 100% 26% 3% - - -
80 LUO Derren 100% 22% 2% - - - -
81 TRAN Andrew 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
82 KIM Noah 100% 25% 2% - - -
83 ROLON Maximiliano 100% 43% 7% - - - -
84 LU David 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
85 WANG Andy 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.