Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ROBINSON Samuel - - - - 4% 30% 66%
2 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
3 DONG Haiyi - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
3 WU Johnny y. - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
5 JAIN Samyak - - - 1% 10% 39% 49%
6 KIM Jayden - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
7 WU Steven - - - 1% 9% 37% 54%
8 KIM Ian - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
9 LIU Yueri - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
10 HERBRANDSON Luke - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 18%
11 ZHANG Austin - 4% 20% 37% 30% 8%
12 ADDLEMAN Joshua - - 3% 14% 36% 38% 9%
13 KIM Alexander - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
14 PARK Sangwook - - - 1% 9% 35% 54%
15 LEUNG Dylan 1% 10% 32% 37% 16% 3% -
16 DENG haoyu - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
17 CHU Theodore 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
18 WANG Joey - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
19 VOO Lucas - 1% 6% 18% 33% 31% 12%
20 WANG Lucas 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
21 KROTZ Nicolas 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
22 LEE Royce - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
23 MORIN-JIANG Jake - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
24 AVETISIAN Michael - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10% 1%
25 XUE Michael 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
26 PARKE Nathaniel - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
27 WHITE Ryden - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
28 DU Evan - - 2% 14% 38% 38% 7%
29 BERTEL Florian 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
30 FEI Victor - 2% 12% 30% 36% 17% 2%
31 SHIN Ryan - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
32 LI Grayson 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 9% 1%
33 WANG Devin - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
34 SU Samuel - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
35 WOO Lucas 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
36 DENG Destin 1% 8% 34% 38% 16% 3% -
37 KOFMAN David - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
38 LOUIE Joseph - - 2% 12% 36% 39% 11%
39 SARMIENTO Luke - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
40 FU Nolan - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
41 PARRA Lucas 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
42 GUO Luke - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
43 GACIOCH Noah - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
44 HAMILTON Travis 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 4%
45 OLIVAS Joseph 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
46 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
47 MARTIN zachary 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
48 NORTON Henry - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
49 LI Yunji (Rain) - - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
50 DENG Andes 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
51 MA Nolan 1% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
52 KIM Daniel 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
53 SUROV Alexander - 3% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
54 ENG Kyler - 3% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1%
55 MOSLEY Wally 1% 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
56 WONG Vansen 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
57 GADHVI Darius - 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 2%
58 RAHMAN Zayd 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
59 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
60 ROMANO Ren - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 16%
61 FUNG SHAUN 2% 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
62 SCHWITZER Eliot 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
63 RAHMAN Ali 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
64 CHEONG Cameron 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
65 QIAO James 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
66 GOROZA Eric - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 2%
67 SCHIPPER Johann 3% 24% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
68 WONG Aaron 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
69 MAXU Tiger - 4% 19% 39% 32% 7%
70 EMERSON Zachary 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
71 ZHANG Luqi 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
72 LIU Daniel 6% 25% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
73 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
74 BALUCAN Caelus 14% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
75 LEE Damien 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
76 DOSHAY Noah 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
77 LIANG Donny 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
78 SAMIMI Sina 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
79 LIN Daniel 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
80 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
81 MENG Haoyi 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
82 NGUYEN Ethan V. 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
83 SHOURIE Seth 14% 40% 33% 11% 2% -
84 WONG Alexander 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
85 KIM Remington - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
86 YU Brandon 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
87 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 1% 14% 38% 33% 12% 1% -
88 RONG Marcus 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
89 HOWE Gavin 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
90 TAMAYO-SARVER Daniel 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
91 LAU Caleb 16% 45% 30% 8% 1% - -
92 CHARETTE Alex 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
93 NUGENT Curtis 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
94 YU Haoyun 35% 43% 18% 3% - -
94 LIU Xuyao 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
96 DAVIDSON James 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
97 COLE Perrin 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 2%
98 MILLER Xavier 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
99 NIE Shuobo 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
100 MARTIN Lucas 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
101 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 47% 42% 10% 1% - - -
102 GRAHAM Jacob 4% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
103 WANG Dylan 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
104 BAUMAN Colin 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
105 LI Sean 15% 40% 33% 11% 1% -
106 SMITH Mason 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
107 ROLAND Nikolas 25% 52% 19% 3% - - -
108 SHOURIE Neel 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
108 PARADKAR Akshay 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
108 FEKETE John 48% 41% 10% 1% - - -
108 COIMBATORE Dillon 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
112 PICKETT Alexander 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
113 ONG David 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
114 OR Anson 68% 28% 4% - - - -
115 AUYEUNG Aedan Ho lam 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.