The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOLFE Alex - - - 4% 19% 45% 32%
2 MAO Benjamin - - - - 2% 21% 76%
3 IARIKOV Nicholas - - 1% 7% 28% 42% 21%
3 ZHAO kuncheng - - 2% 12% 35% 38% 13%
5 KUGLER Luke - - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
6 GAO Victor 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
7 XIA Dashan - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
8 DURKIN Hudson 1% 6% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
9 MANN Jake R. - - - - 5% 32% 63%
10 LAI Boden - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
11 KIM Henry - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
12 DOUBOV Andrew - - 2% 13% 34% 39% 12%
13 LIU Adam - - 1% 8% 32% 47% 11%
14 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - 1% 8% 28% 43% 21%
15 PARKER Isaiah - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 12%
16 RIM Eugene - 1% 7% 29% 44% 17% 2%
17 SVERDLOV Seth - - 1% 5% 23% 46% 25%
18 CHEN Edward - 5% 21% 36% 29% 9% -
19 LYCHKO Maksym 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
20 NG Nico - 6% 28% 42% 20% 3% -
21 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
22 SINGH Ravin - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
23 CHEN Jayden 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
24 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
25 HEGLAND Grady 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% - -
26 MORI Seneca 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
27 LI Morgan - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
28 FENG Du 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 4% -
29 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
30 CHEN Tianjun 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
31 YIN Chujun - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
32 RATUSHNYI Georgii - 3% 14% 33% 35% 13% 2%
33 HU Robert J. - - 2% 12% 35% 38% 13%
34 CUELLAR Markus 11% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
35 NG Rygel 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% - -
36 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
37 ZHAI Junqi 2% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3% -
38 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
39 KIM Zac 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
40 MILINKOVIC Maksim 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
41 THOMAS Ethan 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% -
42 GOVOROV Alexander 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
43 KAPLAN Maddox 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
44 LI Ryan 5% 25% 40% 24% 6% - -
45 RVACHEV Michael - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
46 TSIEN Richard 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
47 WU Jerry 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
48 SUN Lucas - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
49 CHAU Collin 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
49 LIU George 48% 40% 11% 1% - - -
51 AGUIRRE Pablo 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
52 WANG Xiangdong 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 4%
53 NILSEN Mark 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
54 LI Ray 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
54 DU Yifan 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
56 SALZBERG Austin 3% 48% 39% 9% 1% - -
57 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
58 EVANS Joseph 4% 23% 40% 25% 6% 1% -
59 XIE Richard 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
60 MUNFORD Malik 7% 33% 40% 16% 3% - -
61 HIGGINS Viktor 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.