The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
2 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
3 ZHAO kuncheng 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
5 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
6 GAO Victor 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
7 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
8 DURKIN Hudson 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
9 MANN Jake R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
10 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
11 KIM Henry 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
12 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
13 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 11%
14 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
15 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 12%
16 RIM Eugene 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19% 2%
17 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 25%
18 CHEN Edward 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% -
19 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
20 NG Nico 100% 100% 93% 65% 23% 3% -
21 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4%
22 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
23 CHEN Jayden 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
24 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
25 HEGLAND Grady 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
26 MORI Seneca 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
27 LI Morgan 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
28 FENG Du 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4% -
29 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
30 CHEN Tianjun 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
31 YIN Chujun 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12% 1%
32 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14% 2%
33 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
34 CUELLAR Markus 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
35 NG Rygel 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
36 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
37 ZHAI Junqi 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
38 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3% -
39 KIM Zac 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
40 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
41 THOMAS Ethan 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% -
42 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
43 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
44 LI Ryan 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% - -
45 RVACHEV Michael 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
46 TSIEN Richard 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
47 WU Jerry 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
48 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
49 CHAU Collin 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
49 LIU George 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
51 AGUIRRE Pablo 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
52 WANG Xiangdong 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4%
53 NILSEN Mark 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
54 LI Ray 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
54 DU Yifan 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
56 SALZBERG Austin 100% 97% 49% 10% 1% - -
57 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
58 EVANS Joseph 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
59 XIE Richard 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
60 MUNFORD Malik 100% 93% 59% 19% 3% - -
61 HIGGINS Viktor 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.