Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG David H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
2 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
3 WEI JR Shan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
3 KO Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
5 ZHANG Hanru 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
6 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 100% 96% 63%
6 XIAN kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
8 JIN Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
9 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
10 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
11 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 31%
11 SHOU Raymond 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 4%
13 WANG Luke 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
14 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
15 SONG Enoch 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 8%
16 WANG Joshua 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
17 CHOI Hunter 100% 98% 83% 45% 10%
18 OH Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
19 QIAN Will 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
20 SAMUEL Lucas 100% 100% 97% 75% 19%
21 TANG Michael 100% 99% 87% 55% 17% 1%
22 LEONG Samuel 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
23 SUSANTO William 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
24 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
25 KUO Phineas 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19%
26 XU Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5%
27 BAS Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
28 CHITADZE Lazare 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 11%
29 ZHENG Austin 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
30 KEEGAN Cole 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
31 NABASSOUA Djibril 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
31 CAO Aaron 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
33 ZHONG Kingsley 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9% 1%
34 BEYDOUN Sam 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
35 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 22%
36 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
37 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 5%
38 BRILLANTES Luke 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
39 AHMAD Uzayr 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 3%
39 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
41 KUPERBERG Thomas 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
42 DAVE Neil 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
43 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 5%
44 AMR HOSSNY Adam 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
45 LI Andrew 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% 1%
46 WANG Jaaziel 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
47 LEVKOVICH Avery 100% 96% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
48 HU Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
48 PLOSSER Charlie 100% 99% 86% 55% 20% 4% -
50 MA Matthew 100% 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
51 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
52 DENG Jonathan 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
53 ZHANG Ethan 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10% 1%
54 LEE Kyle 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% 1%
55 MCCORMICK Chase 100% 61% 15% 1% -
56 LEE Thomas 100% 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 6%
57 XIA Vincent 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
58 LEE Aeden 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
59 LIN John 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
60 GOLI Arush 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
61 HUANG Dalynn 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
62 MOON Nolan 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
63 GUGALA Frank 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
64 KOO Jaeha 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
65 CHEN Kevin 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - -
66 WU Max 100% 83% 40% 9% 1%
67 DAWSON Myer 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
68 LIU jeremy 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
69 ALABI Adriel 100% 95% 68% 27% 4% -
71 HUANG Marcus 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
72 KIM Albert 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
73 SHEN Lucas 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
74 YEUNG rex 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
75 MONDESIR Chace 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 2% -
76 BRADY David 100% 65% 21% 3% -
77 ZHANG Vincent J 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% -
78 FOMIN Dash 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
79 CHENG Karter 100% 96% 68% 17% 1%
80 MAN Dylan 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
81 XU Jaden 100% 70% 20% 1% -
82 CHONG Cooper 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
83 SIELSKI Evan 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
83 LEE Ryan 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
85 DEGRYSE Leopold 100% 80% 29% 5% - - -
86 VAN DER HARTEN Lukas 100% 47% 8% 1% - - -
87 DING Jacob 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
88 XU Jonathan 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
89 DAVIDSON Henry 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
90 MOORE Quinn 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
91 RAJAT Rivaan 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
91 BHATTACHARYA Dhruv 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
93 SONG Tristan 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
94 LEONG Michael 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
94 WEBSTER Rowan 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
96 PARISH-MORRIS Jay 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
97 TAN Winston 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7% -
98 DOERR Alexander 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.