Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
2 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 SONG Enoch 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
5 XIAN kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
6 ZHAI Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
7 ZHONG Kingsley 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 4%
8 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
9 SHOU Raymond 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 57%
9 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
12 MOON Nolan 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 3%
13 WANG Jaaziel 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13% 1%
14 GUGALA Frank 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 2%
15 HU Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 29%
16 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
17 HUANG Dalynn 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
18 LIN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 17%
19 WU Max 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
20 MAN Dylan 100% 98% 78% 39% 9% -
21 YANG Luca 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
22 SHEN Lucas 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
23 WU Yulen 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
24 CHAE Emmett 100% 99% 88% 54% 14% 1%
25 LI Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 3%
26 CHONG Cooper 100% 98% 80% 39% 8% -
27 CAO Aaron 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15%
28 BRADY David 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
29 YANG Crescent 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
30 MOORE Quinn 100% 97% 76% 39% 10% 1%
31 TARDIFF Owen 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2%
32 MONDESIR Chace 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
33 XU Jonathan 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
34 DENG Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 66% 24% 3%
35 FOMIN Dash 100% 95% 60% 19% 3% -
36 AMR HOSSNY Adam 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 9%
37 YOON Mason 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 15% 2%
38 LI Ethan 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
39 LEE Ryan 100% 88% 50% 16% 2% - -
40 BHOSREKAR Som 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
42 GOLDSTEIN Tate 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
43 DING Jacob 100% 99% 87% 52% 15% 1%
44 SAVIR Ethan 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
44 LEVKOVICH Milan 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
46 XIE zhouhan 100% 76% 31% 5% - -
47 POLEBOYINA Aarav 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
48 YU Adam 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% -
49 JIANG Ethan 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
50 CAI daniel 100% 35% 5% - - -
51 STABROWSKI Joaquin 100% 97% 74% 31% 6% -
52 RAY William 100% 98% 82% 43% 9% 1%
53 KIM ISAAC 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% - -
54 ZUO Yizhi 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 4% -
55 CHEUNG Zachary 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
56 SALERNO A.J. 100% 95% 70% 28% 4% -
57 MOSAMEH Faraj 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
58 DAVE Neil 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
59 WU Connor 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
60 LIN Alexander 100% 82% 37% 8% - -
61 MILLER Julian 100% 99% 65% 19% 2% -
62 KIM JOSHUA 100% 75% 30% 5% - -
63 PELLERIN Liam 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
64 CAI Charlie 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
65 MONTGOMERY Henry 100% 35% 5% - - -
66 AWALGAONKAR Aahan 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.