Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VILLER Alice - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
2 FURMAN Elizabeth - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
3 HAN Emma - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
3 CHEN Madeline - - - 3% 23% 60% 13%
5 CHEN Laila - - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
6 XIE ANDREA - - 4% 15% 34% 35% 12%
7 YIN Elaine - - 3% 16% 35% 35% 11%
8 KIM Abigail - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
9 FAN Joy - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
10 ZHANG Ashley - - 3% 13% 30% 37% 18%
11 WARD Imani - 3% 14% 30% 32% 16% 3%
12 GOFMAN Anastasia - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
14 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
15 FEESER Alexia - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
16 BOUTSIKARIS Asha 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
17 LIU Brinley - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 16%
18 AINSWORTH Esme 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
19 PATEL Aria - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 2%
20 PATEL Agena - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
21 CHEN Reina - 3% 15% 37% 36% 10%
22 KAMENSKY Emilia - 1% 8% 30% 39% 19% 3%
23 CHOI Noah 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
24 CHAN Faith Sum Yin 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
25 KIM Charlotte 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
26 LEE Nicole - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
27 KUO Stella 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
28 TANG Jacquelyn - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 1%
29 YOUNG Penelope - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
30 QI Chelsie 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 8% 1%
31 LI Juliana 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
32 YOON Michelle 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
33 ZHAO Rachel 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
34 SALUBRO Vivianna 6% 31% 40% 20% 3% -
35 LEE Zoe 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
35 KANDHI Aryaa 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
37 CHEN Emily 3% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
38 LI Kayla - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
39 CHOI Serine 27% 45% 23% 4% - - -
40 WANG Katherine 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
41 OZALP Tara 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
42 VENKATESH Uma 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
43 KIM Lina 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
44 MAO Faith - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
45 MERHEJ Lea 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
46 QIN Olivia 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
47 SUN Alisha - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 2%
48 STEWART Emily 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
49 SIU Mila - 2% 10% 25% 35% 23% 6%
50 GRECO Athena 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
51 CHOI Elina 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 11% 2%
52 WILLIAMS Valentina 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
53 ERATA Selena 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
54 CARACCIOLO Emma 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
55 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
56 SHEN Sophia 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
57 MERHEJ Liv - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
58 BONDE Trisha 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
59 PHO Sylvia 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% -
60 GURTIN Sasha 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1%
61 LIN Amber 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 8% 1%
62 LEE Zerah 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
63 MARGAGLIONE Veronica 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
64 KAUR Harman 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
65 LATORRE Alexa - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
66 LIOU Skylar 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
67 YU sage 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
68 VAZIRANI Jiya 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -
69 LEUNG Hayden 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.