Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VILLER Alice 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
2 FURMAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 14%
3 HAN Emma 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
3 CHEN Madeline 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 13%
5 CHEN Laila 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
6 XIE ANDREA 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
7 YIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
8 KIM Abigail 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
9 FAN Joy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
10 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
11 WARD Imani 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
12 GOFMAN Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
14 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
15 FEESER Alexia 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
16 BOUTSIKARIS Asha 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
17 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16%
18 AINSWORTH Esme 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
19 PATEL Aria 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 2%
20 PATEL Agena 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 2%
21 CHEN Reina 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
22 KAMENSKY Emilia 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
23 CHOI Noah 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
24 CHAN Faith Sum Yin 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
25 KIM Charlotte 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
26 LEE Nicole 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
27 KUO Stella 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
28 TANG Jacquelyn 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
29 YOUNG Penelope 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
30 QI Chelsie 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
31 LI Juliana 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
32 YOON Michelle 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
33 ZHAO Rachel 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
34 SALUBRO Vivianna 100% 94% 63% 23% 3% -
35 LEE Zoe 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
35 KANDHI Aryaa 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
37 CHEN Emily 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
38 LI Kayla 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
39 CHOI Serine 100% 73% 28% 5% - - -
40 WANG Katherine 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
41 OZALP Tara 100% 88% 53% 20% 4% - -
42 VENKATESH Uma 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
43 KIM Lina 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
44 MAO Faith 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
45 MERHEJ Lea 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
46 QIN Olivia 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
47 SUN Alisha 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 2%
48 STEWART Emily 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
49 SIU Mila 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
50 GRECO Athena 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
51 CHOI Elina 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
52 WILLIAMS Valentina 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
53 ERATA Selena 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
54 CARACCIOLO Emma 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
55 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
56 SHEN Sophia 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
57 MERHEJ Liv 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
58 BONDE Trisha 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
59 PHO Sylvia 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 6% -
60 GURTIN Sasha 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
61 LIN Amber 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
62 LEE Zerah 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
63 MARGAGLIONE Veronica 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
64 KAUR Harman 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
65 LATORRE Alexa 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
66 LIOU Skylar 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
67 YU sage 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
68 VAZIRANI Jiya 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
69 LEUNG Hayden 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.