RFC Friday Night Fight October - Unsanctioned

Mixed Foil

Friday, October 3, 2025 at 6:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SIMMONS Noah 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
2 LYNCH Jacob 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
3 MAYBERRY Kate 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
3 MASTROPAS-BROWN Luka 100% 100% 92% 61% 18%
5 MAJER Jude 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 4%
6 WILLIAMS James 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
7 CHOE Samuel 100% 43% 3% < 1% -
8 WHIDDON Lucy 100% 75% 19% 2% -
9 SCHARTZ James 100% 100% 100% 74% 24%
10 HALL Joshua 100% 99% 85% 47% 12%
11 KUKANIC Fiona 100% 99% 91% 55% 14%
12 DILLENBACK Isaiah 100% 100% 96% 73% 26%
13 COLLIGAN Laura 100% 100% 92% 64% 21%
14 FORBES Xavier 100% 67% 3% < 1% -
15 THOMAS Taylor 100% 98% 79% 36% 5%
16 MITTAL Sahana 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
17 LU Dorian 100% 96% 75% 38% 9%
18 PLACE Emma 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
19 ELLIOT James 100% 100% 80% 30% 1%
20 JORGENSON Oliver 100% 86% 48% 13% 1%
21 COVERT Michael 100% 93% 67% 29% 6%
22 SCHEFFT Owen 100% 100% 74% 28% 4%
23 RAWLS Henry 100% 85% 48% 15% 2%
24 DAVIS John 100% 90% 57% 19% 2%
25 MASTROPAS-BROWN Danil 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
26 LU Alina 100% 85% 48% 15% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.