October NAC

Cadet Men's Foil

Monday, October 6, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BUDOVSKYI Borys - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
2 WANG Aaron - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
3 CHEN Kyle P. - - 1% 9% 33% 42% 15%
3 CHOI JIAN - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
5 RASMUSSEN Sage - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
6 LIN Youlong - - - - 5% 32% 63%
7 LI Toby Muhua - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
8 DERRICK Blake - - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
9 LIU Ethan - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
10 XU Andy P. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
11 LU Kevin - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
12 CORTRIGHT Skipper - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
13 CHENG Ethan - - 4% 18% 43% 35%
14 SENIC Lucas - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
15 NGUYEN Martin - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
16 LE Jacob H. 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
17 WU Brian - - - 4% 22% 44% 30%
18 CHEUNG Hank - 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 4%
19 DOELL Ethan - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
20 QIAN Jason H. - - - 2% 13% 42% 42%
20 MAZAHERI Fletcher - 5% 23% 39% 26% 6%
22 ZHOU Chenqiao - - 3% 17% 42% 33% 5%
23 GHEDINI Luca - - 3% 18% 38% 32% 8%
24 TAN Aidan - - - 4% 20% 46% 30%
25 SHENG Dalton 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
26 WANDJI Noah - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
27 CHOI Benjamin 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
28 GUTH Joseph - - 1% 12% 38% 39% 11%
29 YI William W. - - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10%
30 WONG Evan 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2%
31 HAYES Stewart - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
32 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
33 LI Bradley - - - - 4% 27% 69%
34 FUKUDA Diego - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
35 ALLEN Henry G. - - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
36 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
37 YAO Bradley - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 19%
38 ZHANG Jacob - - 4% 19% 40% 32% 6%
39 CHEN Matthew - - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
40 LIU Derek - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
41 KIM Phil - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 25%
42 RAJ Jay - - 5% 23% 43% 27% 3%
43 ZHENG Marcus - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
44 CHEN Ethan - 1% 10% 31% 37% 19% 3%
45 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 2% 14% 37% 36% 12%
46 SIMONOV Timofey - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
47 MARTIN Darius - - 1% 11% 38% 39% 11%
47 BAE Eugene - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
49 LING Eddie - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
50 CHOI Ethan - - 2% 15% 38% 34% 10%
51 JEONG Yujun - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
52 CHA James - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
53 ROZALSKI Eli - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
54 GORDON William L. 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
55 LI Aaron - - 2% 16% 42% 34% 6%
56 ZHANG Aaron - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
57 SUAREZ Adrian - - 3% 16% 38% 33% 9%
57 HOWLAND Jonas - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
59 LO Preston - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
60 KIM Daniel Y. - - 1% 9% 31% 43% 15%
61 CHANG Jonathan - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
62 LI Edison M. - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
63 FOY Grant 17% 43% 30% 9% 1% - -
64 SHANNON Jack 16% 41% 32% 10% 1%
65 LEE Brendan - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
66 TANG Alexander L. - 1% 9% 33% 41% 16%
67 LU Royce - - - 3% 18% 47% 31%
68 RAUTUREAU Hugo - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 9%
69 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - - 3% 18% 39% 32% 6%
70 ZHOU Shawn - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
71 ELKOUSY Zain al Din - 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 2%
72 PALMA Nathan Anthony - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
73 CHEN Nuo - - 2% 14% 37% 36% 11%
74 BAI Austin - 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
75 LEE Christopher T. - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
76 SHIN Noah 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
77 PARK Rion - - 2% 13% 33% 36% 14%
78 PARRISH Evan - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
79 LI Richard - - 4% 21% 42% 29% 4%
80 WANG Rory - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
81 SISINNI Leonardo 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6% -
82 MAO Lucas - 1% 12% 34% 37% 14% 1%
83 LU Nathan - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
83 LEE Abin 3% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
85 HARROCH Faustin - 15% 41% 33% 10% 1%
86 LU Andy 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
87 FEDELI Francesco 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
88 LIU Yinhong 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
89 WEI Winston 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
90 YU Kinton 9% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
91 PAN Ethan 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5%
92 CHANG Eric Jonathan 31% 44% 21% 4% -
93 DONG Richard - 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 3%
94 ZHOU Ryan 1% 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% -
95 GE Felix Fei 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
96 ZMUDA Aiden 11% 47% 32% 8% 1% - -
97 HARRIS Julien 4% 26% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
98 YANG Charles - 4% 22% 45% 24% 5% -
99 CHUANG Oscar - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
99 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
101 RAUTUREAU Arthur - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
102 CHOI Ethan - 6% 26% 40% 22% 5% -
102 YOON Junhyeok - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
104 TSOI Spencer - 38% 43% 16% 2% -
105 LI Daniel 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1% -
106 CHEN Anson - 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
107 HICKEY Connor 2% 16% 39% 33% 9% 1% -
108 CHONG Tristan - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
109 KUE Temujin 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
110 PARK William 1% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
111 HUA Aaron 1% 12% 36% 37% 13% 2% -
112 PE Noah 1% 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% -
113 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
114 CHO Jadon Yushin - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
115 WONG Jacob W. - 3% 18% 41% 30% 8% -
116 CHENG Logan - 1% 5% 22% 39% 28% 5%
117 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 1% 7% 26% 38% 22% 6% -
118 MORROW Brenden - 3% 19% 41% 30% 7%
118 HERNANDEZ BERRON Salvador 1% 17% 40% 30% 10% 2% -
120 BIELER Mason 1% 11% 35% 36% 14% 2% -
120 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 3% 20% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
122 FANG Haoyu 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
123 SEIGEL Duncan 3% 21% 43% 26% 6% 1% -
124 NISHIHIRA Tyler 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
125 LEE Jaden - 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
126 MCKEE Calvin - 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1%
127 CHANG Jeremy 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
128 BELCHAMBER Mason 1% 11% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
129 HAN Alexander 1% 14% 38% 33% 11% 2% -
130 TOEWS Jackson 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
131 ABRAMKIN Tim 1% 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
132 KWON Chase 11% 38% 39% 12% 1% - -
133 MARTIRE Luca 6% 37% 39% 15% 3% - -
134 TANG Terry - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
134 YEVDAYEV Tamir 28% 45% 23% 4% - - -
136 KIM Daniel 21% 45% 26% 6% 1% - -
137 SU Desmond 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
138 NEICE William 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
139 CHOI Colin 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
140 ONG Nicholas 6% 28% 40% 20% 5% - -
141 LEONG Wilson Hua 44% 42% 12% 1% - - -
142 SU Preston 15% 42% 34% 8% 1% - -
143 TEH Tang-Ngu 2% 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
144 WILEY Conor 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
145 ZHAO Nathan 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
146 CHO Xzander 2% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2%
147 FUKUDA Brando 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
148 PARK Andrew 3% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
149 NUCKLES Caden 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
150 WONG Braxton 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
150 CHOI Hunter 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
152 LAM Kirin 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -
153 OH Joshua 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
154 TOOMRE Kai 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
156 MIRON Ioachim 31% 47% 19% 3% - - -
157 LEUNG Tsun Yin (TY) 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
158 GAO Andrew 15% 45% 31% 8% 1% - -
159 YOU Martin 7% 43% 37% 12% 2% - -
160 CAO Justin 7% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
161 EDWARDS Connor 26% 46% 23% 5% - - -
162 DACKO Nolan 40% 44% 14% 2% - - -
163 HARWOOD Gray 34% 45% 18% 2% - - -
164 GODIN Willis 22% 48% 25% 5% - - -
165 RUDOW Asher 53% 39% 7% 1% - - -
165 MESSENGER Niko 98% 2% - - - -
168 PARK Jayden 17% 45% 29% 7% 1% - -
170 WEBSTER Liam 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
171 LEE Christopher 21% 52% 23% 4% - - -
172 LU Alex 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
173 POPOKH Luca 27% 45% 23% 4% - - -
174 DIAZ Gabriel 38% 44% 16% 3% - - -
175 SENANI Arjun 21% 44% 28% 7% 1% - -
175 FEEHAN Conor 74% 24% 2% - - - -
175 SONG HAN GYEOL 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
178 PUSHKIN HUANG Yam 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
178 KRZYWON Dylan 50% 40% 10% 1% - - -
180 MAO Runxian 63% 31% 5% - - - -
181 GRIGORIEV Michael 21% 41% 29% 8% 1% - -
182 HOWARD Fox 67% 28% 4% - - - -
182 MARSHALL Kyler 63% 32% 5% - - - -
184 SMITH Desmon 69% 27% 4% - - - -
185 KINGSLEY Griffin 30% 47% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.