October NAC

Cadet Men's Foil

Monday, October 6, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BUDOVSKYI Borys 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
2 WANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
3 CHOI JIAN 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
5 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
6 LIN Youlong 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
7 LI Toby Muhua 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
8 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
9 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
10 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
11 LU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
12 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
13 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
14 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
15 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 22%
16 LE Jacob H. 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
17 WU Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
18 CHEUNG Hank 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
19 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
20 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
20 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
22 ZHOU Chenqiao 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 5%
23 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
24 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
25 SHENG Dalton 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
26 WANDJI Noah 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
27 CHOI Benjamin 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
28 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 11%
29 YI William W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
30 WONG Evan 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
31 HAYES Stewart 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
32 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
33 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
34 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
35 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
36 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
37 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 19%
38 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
39 CHEN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
40 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
41 KIM Phil 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
42 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 3%
43 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
44 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
45 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 98% 84% 47% 12%
46 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
47 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 11%
47 BAE Eugene 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
49 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
50 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
51 JEONG Yujun 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
52 CHA James 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
53 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
54 GORDON William L. 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
55 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40% 6%
56 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
57 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
57 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
59 LO Preston 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
60 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 15%
61 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
62 LI Edison M. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% 1%
63 FOY Grant 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% - -
64 SHANNON Jack 100% 84% 42% 11% 1%
65 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
66 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
67 LU Royce 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
68 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
69 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 6%
70 ZHOU Shawn 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
71 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
72 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6%
73 CHEN Nuo 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
74 BAI Austin 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
75 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
76 SHIN Noah 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
77 PARK Rion 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
78 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
79 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 4%
80 WANG Rory 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4%
81 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
82 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 1%
83 LU Nathan 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2%
83 LEE Abin 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
85 HARROCH Faustin 100% 100% 85% 44% 11% 1%
86 LU Andy 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 5% -
87 FEDELI Francesco 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
88 LIU Yinhong 100% 92% 62% 26% 5% -
89 WEI Winston 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
90 YU Kinton 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
91 PAN Ethan 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
92 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 69% 26% 5% -
93 DONG Richard 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
94 ZHOU Ryan 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 4% -
95 GE Felix Fei 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4% -
96 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 89% 42% 9% 1% - -
97 HARRIS Julien 100% 96% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
98 YANG Charles 100% 100% 96% 74% 29% 5% -
99 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
99 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
101 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
102 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 5% -
102 YOON Junhyeok 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
104 TSOI Spencer 100% 100% 62% 19% 3% -
105 LI Daniel 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
106 CHEN Anson 100% 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
107 HICKEY Connor 100% 98% 82% 43% 10% 1% -
108 CHONG Tristan 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
109 KUE Temujin 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4% -
110 PARK William 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
111 HUA Aaron 100% 99% 86% 51% 14% 2% -
112 PE Noah 100% 99% 86% 47% 13% 2% -
113 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
114 CHO Jadon Yushin 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15%
115 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 8% -
116 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 5%
117 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% -
118 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 7%
118 HERNANDEZ BERRON Salvador 100% 99% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
120 BIELER Mason 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
120 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 100% 97% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
122 FANG Haoyu 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1%
123 SEIGEL Duncan 100% 97% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
124 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
125 LEE Jaden 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
126 MCKEE Calvin 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 8% 1%
127 CHANG Jeremy 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
128 BELCHAMBER Mason 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
129 HAN Alexander 100% 99% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
130 TOEWS Jackson 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
131 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 99% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
132 KWON Chase 100% 89% 52% 13% 1% - -
133 MARTIRE Luca 100% 94% 57% 18% 3% - -
134 TANG Terry 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
134 YEVDAYEV Tamir 100% 72% 27% 5% - - -
136 KIM Daniel 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% - -
137 SU Desmond 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
138 NEICE William 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5% -
139 CHOI Colin 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
140 ONG Nicholas 100% 94% 66% 25% 5% - -
141 LEONG Wilson Hua 100% 56% 13% 1% - - -
142 SU Preston 100% 85% 43% 9% 1% - -
143 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 98% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
144 WILEY Conor 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
145 ZHAO Nathan 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
146 CHO Xzander 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
147 FUKUDA Brando 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
148 PARK Andrew 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
149 NUCKLES Caden 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
150 WONG Braxton 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
150 CHOI Hunter 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
152 LAM Kirin 100% 70% 25% 5% - - -
153 OH Joshua 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
154 TOOMRE Kai 100% 76% 36% 9% 1% - -
156 MIRON Ioachim 100% 69% 22% 3% - - -
157 LEUNG Tsun Yin (TY) 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
158 GAO Andrew 100% 85% 40% 9% 1% - -
159 YOU Martin 100% 93% 50% 13% 2% - -
160 CAO Justin 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% - -
161 EDWARDS Connor 100% 74% 29% 5% - - -
162 DACKO Nolan 100% 60% 15% 2% - - -
163 HARWOOD Gray 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
164 GODIN Willis 100% 78% 30% 5% - - -
165 RUDOW Asher 100% 47% 8% 1% - - -
165 MESSENGER Niko 100% 2% - - - -
168 PARK Jayden 100% 83% 37% 8% 1% - -
170 WEBSTER Liam 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
171 LEE Christopher 100% 79% 27% 4% - - -
172 LU Alex 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% -
173 POPOKH Luca 100% 73% 27% 5% - - -
174 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
175 SENANI Arjun 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
175 FEEHAN Conor 100% 26% 2% - - - -
175 SONG HAN GYEOL 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
178 PUSHKIN HUANG Yam 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
178 KRZYWON Dylan 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
180 MAO Runxian 100% 37% 6% - - - -
181 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% - -
182 HOWARD Fox 100% 33% 5% - - - -
182 MARSHALL Kyler 100% 37% 5% - - - -
184 SMITH Desmon 100% 31% 4% - - - -
185 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 70% 22% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.