Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
3 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 7%
3 REPIC Oliver 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
5 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
6 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% -
7 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
8 PETROW Zoryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
9 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
10 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43%
11 WU Jerry 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
12 GUNDUBOGULA Saket 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
13 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
14 LI Morgan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 3%
15 FANG Zekai 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
16 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
17 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
18 CHO Alex 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
19 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
20 LENNON Nicholas 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
21 NOOL Alexander 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
22 LI Ryan 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 4% -
23 YANG Alex 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
24 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% -
25 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15% 1%
26 TATE William Isom 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 8%
27 ANAFI Ari 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 12%
28 HE Bronto 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
29 SOKOL Luke 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
30 RVACHEV Michael 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 1%
31 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 8% 1%
31 HELMY Richard 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
33 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
34 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 97% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
35 CUELLAR Markus 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
36 BHANDARE Veer 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
37 CHAU Collin 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
38 LEE Henry 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
39 SONG Charlie 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
40 HOOD Emery 100% 95% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
41 KIM Zac 100% 95% 65% 25% 5% - -
42 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
43 LEE Ryan 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
44 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
45 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 62% 19% 2% - -
46 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 86% 45% 11% 1% -
47 ZHU Brady 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% - -
48 EMMERT JP 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
49 CARMAN Elliot 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
50 CHEN Raymond 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1%
51 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 96% 70% 29% 6% 1% -
52 FENG Xinmin 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
53 MCCANDLISH Owen 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
54 PANAS Mason 100% 57% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.