Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC - RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Alexis - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
2 YANG Hannah - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
3 CHEN Madeline - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 VILLER Alice - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
5 ZHANG Ashley - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
6 HAN Emma - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
7 XI Emily - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 4%
8 BOBE Arianna - - 2% 17% 49% 31%
9 FURMAN Elizabeth - - 1% 13% 47% 39%
10 XIE ANDREA - 1% 6% 20% 37% 29% 7%
11 DACKO Katarina 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
12 FAN Joy - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
13 YU Chloe - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
14 TANG Jacquelyn 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
15 WU Evelyn - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
16 TRIVULCE Scarlett 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1% -
17 ZHU YUNXI - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
19 REDWINE Louise 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
20 YIN Elaine 1% 8% 28% 38% 22% 3%
21 ZHAO Rachel 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
22 FAYEZ Malika - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
23 LIU Brinley - 1% 7% 22% 36% 28% 6%
24 SIU Mila 1% 5% 17% 30% 30% 15% 3%
25 NEGRUT Sabina 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
26 KIM Charlotte 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
27 LI Kayla 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
28 LEE Zoe 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
29 ERATA Selena 2% 18% 40% 32% 7% -
30 ZHAO Crystal 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
31 GORDON Winter 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
32 CHUNG Yenna 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
33 CHEN freya - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
34 WANG Hailie 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
35 SELASSIE Semara 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
36 MAO Faith 4% 27% 41% 23% 5% -
37 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
38 CHEN Reina 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1%
39 GURTIN Sasha 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
40 LI ELVA 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
41 LEE Iona 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
42 ARONSON Marlie 1% 14% 36% 35% 13% 1%
43 LEE Zerah 9% 36% 39% 15% 2% -
44 KIM Abigail - 4% 22% 40% 29% 5%
45 RYU Natalee 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
46 VILLER Gabriella 31% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
47 LOUGH Abbie 65% 30% 5% - - -
48 WANG Katherine 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
49 KAUR Harman 47% 40% 12% 1% - -
50 ECCLESTONE Tara 3% 22% 42% 28% 5% -
51 YOUNG Penelope 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
52 LIU Zoe - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
53 AINSWORTH Esme 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
53 XU Selina (Tai Ran) 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
55 CHOI Noah 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
56 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
57 LIANG Kristy 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
58 WILLIAMS Valentina 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
59 MENG Yinuo 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
60 YOON Michelle 35% 42% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.