Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC - RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Alexis 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
2 YANG Hannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
3 CHEN Madeline 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 VILLER Alice 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
5 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
6 HAN Emma 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
7 XI Emily 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 24% 4%
8 BOBE Arianna 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 31%
9 FURMAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 39%
10 XIE ANDREA 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 36% 7%
11 DACKO Katarina 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
12 FAN Joy 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
13 YU Chloe 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
14 TANG Jacquelyn 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4% -
15 WU Evelyn 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
16 TRIVULCE Scarlett 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
17 ZHU YUNXI 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
19 REDWINE Louise 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
20 YIN Elaine 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3%
21 ZHAO Rachel 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
22 FAYEZ Malika 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
23 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 6%
24 SIU Mila 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
25 NEGRUT Sabina 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% - -
26 KIM Charlotte 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
27 LI Kayla 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
28 LEE Zoe 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
29 ERATA Selena 100% 98% 80% 40% 8% -
30 ZHAO Crystal 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
31 GORDON Winter 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
32 CHUNG Yenna 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
33 CHEN freya 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
34 WANG Hailie 100% 99% 88% 59% 26% 6% 1%
35 SELASSIE Semara 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
36 MAO Faith 100% 96% 70% 29% 6% -
37 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
38 CHEN Reina 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
39 GURTIN Sasha 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
40 LI ELVA 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
41 LEE Iona 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2%
42 ARONSON Marlie 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 1%
43 LEE Zerah 100% 91% 55% 16% 2% -
44 KIM Abigail 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 5%
45 RYU Natalee 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
46 VILLER Gabriella 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
47 LOUGH Abbie 100% 35% 5% - - -
48 WANG Katherine 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
49 KAUR Harman 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
50 ECCLESTONE Tara 100% 97% 75% 33% 6% -
51 YOUNG Penelope 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
52 LIU Zoe 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
53 AINSWORTH Esme 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
53 XU Selina (Tai Ran) 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
55 CHOI Noah 100% 93% 63% 26% 5% -
56 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
57 LIANG Kristy 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
58 WILLIAMS Valentina 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
59 MENG Yinuo 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
60 YOON Michelle 100% 65% 23% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.