AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Serena 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
2 DYMAR Anna 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
3 WU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
3 LI Yixin 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
5 CHEN Stephanie 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7%
6 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
7 MOHAN Riya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
8 LI Ariel 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 5%
9 XU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 24%
10 CHI Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
11 YOUN Kylie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
12 RASHID Summer 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 6%
13 BURKS Madison 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
14 XIONG Alice 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
15 XU Amy(Chenyu) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
16 ZHAO Isabel 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 21%
17 ANDRUS Allie 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
18 NGUYEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
19 FU Shannon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
20 HUANG Jui-An 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1% < 1%
21 MERRIMAN Rie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
22 ERISMAN Gabriella 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
23 YOUNG Nicole 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
24 LEE Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
25 ZHAO Ellie 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
26 WANG Nicole 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
27 YIP Allison 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 7%
28 ZHAO Emma 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 7%
28 FENG Esther 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 4%
30 XU Aasta 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
31 KUSHNERENKO Maiia 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
32 HU Avery 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
33 SUN Karolyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
34 MANDAP Alessandra 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
35 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
36 WANG Lihong 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 46% 6%
37 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 99% 85% 46% 11% 1%
38 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
39 DAI Sophie 100% 99% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
40 YU Chloe 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
41 LI Allison 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 1%
42 BUDMAN Ava 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
42 ARNOLD Evangeline 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 2%
44 LYNTON Alexandra 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
45 SIDHU Myra 100% 98% 84% 46% 10% 1% -
46 CHO Jacey 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
47 CHO Anya 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
48 SHEN Isabella 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
49 RAPTIS Layla 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
50 KOU Cynthia 100% 98% 76% 33% 6% -
51 DU Chloe 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 3%
52 PAN Zoe 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
53 SUN Joanna 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8% -
54 RAJ Indra 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
55 LI Anna 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
56 MIXON Ivory 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
57 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 100% 98% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
58 MIAO Anthea 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
59 KOHLER Chrissy 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
60 XIE Zhiran (Celine) 100% 64% 18% 2% - -
61 SUN Milly 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 2%
62 MUKKU Emily 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
63 VISHWA Nishta 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
64 WANG Kercedes Ye 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
65 LI Carlie 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
66 KARTHIK Diya 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 8%
67 WANG Yvonne 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 10% 1%
68 REN Ivanka 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
69 YANG Emma 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
70 SINGLETARY Iona 100% 98% 79% 39% 9% 1% -
71 LU Chloe 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
72 GARCIA Sophia Noelle 100% 99% 85% 47% 12% 1%
73 SUNG Audrey 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 8%
74 LIAO irene 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
75 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
76 HILL Aurora 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
77 HOODA Devanshi 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
78 LEE Adelynn 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 11%
79 LU Chu 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
80 PARKE Jaime 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
81 PARK Rachel 100% 96% 72% 31% 5% - -
82 LYNTON Olivia 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4% -
83 SHIN Nayun 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
84 BERESTOVITSKY Eva 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1% -
85 STERNAD Pia 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 33% 5%
86 LEE Rebecca 100% 96% 69% 28% 5% - -
87 DEJOY Leilah 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
88 ZU Jacqueline 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
89 DENEALE Lucia 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
90 DU Chelsea 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
90 WANANDI Miyuko 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
92 ZHANG Joy 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
93 LI zoey 100% 91% 56% 20% 4% - -
94 LI Katherine 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
95 BRINDAVAN Vyahriti 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
96 YOON Claire 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
96 YANG Arianna 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
96 LI Mia 100% 99% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
99 ZHU Anna 100% 95% 57% 18% 2% - -
100 STEPHAN Antje Elisa 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
100 TRUONG Chloe 100% 36% 5% - - -
102 ZHAO Yanning 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3%
102 FLYNN Kensington 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% -
104 LOO Samantha 100% 91% 53% 15% 2% - -
105 KAMNEVA Anfisa 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
106 MAENG Gloria 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
107 KAYMAN June 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
108 YANG Nina 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 6% -
109 LIU Emma 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
109 LI Celine 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
111 KEDAN Carmella 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
112 ZHANG Carina 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
113 REN Harper 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
114 OAKES Delaney 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
115 AGARWAL Keya 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
116 WARBURTON Eleanor 100% 80% 34% 7% 1% - -
117 SMIRNOVA Evangelina 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
118 YADAGIRI Aditi 100% 90% 52% 17% 3% - -
119 ALI Maryum 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
119 WANG Grace 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
121 OLSON Olivia 100% 95% 64% 22% 3% -
122 TAN Elliana 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
123 TOYOFUKU Evelyn 100% 55% 14% 1% - - -
124 LUCAS Cynthia 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 2% -
125 PAK Ella 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -
126 MILLER Grey 100% 72% 24% 3% - -
127 MARTYNOVA Veronica 100% 38% 6% - - - -
128 DUKHOVNY Shifra 100% 60% 18% 2% - - -
129 CHEN Catherine 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
130 GUO Cecilia 100% 24% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.