AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Evan - - - - 2% 23% 75%
2 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
3 DING Max - 1% 7% 29% 45% 18%
3 LEE Lucas - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
5 TANG Daniel - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
6 HWANG Matthew - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
7 MOSLEY Wally - - 1% 4% 20% 41% 34%
8 HUA Nolan - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
9 LU Ian - 1% 7% 28% 42% 22%
10 GALBRAITH Carson - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
11 LIU Yihong - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
12 WU Nathan - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
13 LEE Leo - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
14 PARK Ethan - - 2% 13% 38% 41% 6%
15 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
16 YOO Lucas - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
17 YI Alexander - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
18 JU Shang - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
19 CAREY John - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 11%
20 WU MiEr - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
21 PURCELL Jonathan - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
22 CHU Clayton - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
23 YIM Antonio - 4% 19% 39% 30% 8%
24 SAMOYLOV Daniel - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
25 SHIH Derek - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
26 ZHAO Kyle Zekai - 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
26 LIN Logan - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
28 FU Benjamin - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
29 ROBERTS Arthur - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
29 HAN Alex 1% 9% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
31 ZHAO Luke - 4% 20% 39% 30% 8% -
32 TIAN Dylan - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
33 WONG Kyle - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
34 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
35 LIU YULIN - 9% 30% 37% 19% 3%
36 YOO Minwoo - 2% 11% 28% 35% 19% 4%
37 KIM Hayden - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
38 CHEN Anderson - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
39 CHEN Linus - 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
40 GUO Jonathan - 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
41 BALUCAN Gabriel - 1% 7% 27% 46% 20%
42 SALIM Ethan 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
43 GEVA Reuben - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
44 CHAN Nathan - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
45 LI Vance - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
46 YUN Mason - 4% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
47 BENNETTE Graham 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
48 BOROVIKOV Alexander - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
49 NGUYEN Norris - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
50 LO Stefan 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
51 YIM Benjamin - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
52 WU James - 5% 25% 40% 24% 5% -
53 WANG Mason - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
54 YOON Ian 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
55 YE Andrew 8% 32% 41% 16% 2% -
56 CHO Lincoln 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
57 LIN Bryan - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
58 ZHANG Jenson - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
59 LI Connor 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
60 BUSH Andrew 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 3%
61 SOMANI Ilyaa 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
62 FAYEZ Adam - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
63 BRANDWAJN Philippe 37% 44% 16% 2% - - -
64 LEUNG Joon 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
65 LI Stephen - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 9%
65 LIU Aiden - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
67 LAU Jesse 3% 22% 40% 28% 7% -
68 WANG Suian (Andy) - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
69 KONG Dean 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
70 JUNG Brandon 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
71 LI Kingston 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
72 YU Luca - 5% 24% 43% 24% 4%
73 SI Alexander 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
74 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 8% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
76 TENG Eric - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
77 PARK Sean 2% 22% 39% 28% 8% 1%
78 LI Nathan 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
79 CHI Zachary 6% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
80 NIU Alexandre - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
81 WON Jacob 15% 36% 33% 13% 3% - -
81 ZHANG ZETAO(Steven) 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 3% -
83 ZHENG Dylan 7% 30% 38% 19% 5% 1% -
84 YANG Mikey 4% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
85 WU KADEN - 2% 13% 37% 39% 9%
86 EVANS Harvey 45% 40% 13% 2% - -
87 REED Andrew 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% -
88 LI Ethan 27% 45% 23% 4% - -
89 LEE Cooper 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
90 LI Ethan 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
90 AKKARA Skyler 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
92 KOU Logan 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
93 HAO Hardy 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
93 FONG Ethan 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
95 WANG Franklin 10% 34% 35% 17% 4% - -
96 MATUSOW Brandon 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
97 LEE Daniel 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
98 SHARMA Mihir 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
98 DARMSTADT-JORY Torben 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
98 DODDAPANENI Arjun 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
101 DAI Greyson 74% 23% 3% - - -
102 ZHANG OWEN 24% 46% 24% 5% 1% - -
103 KAPLAN David 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
104 POLIAKOV Timur 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
105 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
106 ZHAO Jonathan Li 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
107 LEE Connor 27% 44% 24% 5% - -
108 LI nathan zeting 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% - -
109 DING Derek 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
110 SCHIPPER Ludwig 36% 45% 16% 3% - - -
111 GONG Rongtao 22% 46% 26% 6% 1% - -
112 LIN Conner 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
112 WANG Alexander 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
114 WANG Aaron 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
116 YANG Rony 25% 45% 24% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.