AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
2 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
3 DING Max 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 18%
3 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
5 TANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
6 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
7 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
8 HUA Nolan 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
9 LU Ian 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
10 GALBRAITH Carson 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
11 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
12 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
13 LEE Leo 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
14 PARK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 6%
15 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
16 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
17 YI Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
18 JU Shang 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
19 CAREY John 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
20 WU MiEr 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
21 PURCELL Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
22 CHU Clayton 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
23 YIM Antonio 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 8%
24 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
25 SHIH Derek 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
26 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 2%
26 LIN Logan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
28 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
29 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
29 HAN Alex 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
31 ZHAO Luke 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8% -
32 TIAN Dylan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
33 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
34 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
35 LIU YULIN 100% 100% 90% 60% 22% 3%
36 YOO Minwoo 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
37 KIM Hayden 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
38 CHEN Anderson 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
39 CHEN Linus 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
40 GUO Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
41 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 20%
42 SALIM Ethan 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
43 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
44 CHAN Nathan 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 3%
45 LI Vance 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
46 YUN Mason 100% 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1%
47 BENNETTE Graham 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
48 BOROVIKOV Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
49 NGUYEN Norris 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 23% 3%
50 LO Stefan 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
51 YIM Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
52 WU James 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5% -
53 WANG Mason 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
54 YOON Ian 100% 99% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1%
55 YE Andrew 100% 92% 60% 19% 3% -
56 CHO Lincoln 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
57 LIN Bryan 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 40% 10%
58 ZHANG Jenson 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
59 LI Connor 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
60 BUSH Andrew 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3%
61 SOMANI Ilyaa 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
62 FAYEZ Adam 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 40% 9%
63 BRANDWAJN Philippe 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -
64 LEUNG Joon 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
65 LI Stephen 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
65 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
67 LAU Jesse 100% 97% 75% 35% 7% -
68 WANG Suian (Andy) 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
69 KONG Dean 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
70 JUNG Brandon 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
71 LI Kingston 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
72 YU Luca 100% 100% 94% 71% 28% 4%
73 SI Alexander 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
74 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 100% 92% 60% 20% 3% -
76 TENG Eric 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
77 PARK Sean 100% 98% 76% 37% 9% 1%
78 LI Nathan 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% -
79 CHI Zachary 100% 94% 64% 27% 7% 1% -
80 NIU Alexandre 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
81 WON Jacob 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
81 ZHANG ZETAO(Steven) 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3% -
83 ZHENG Dylan 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
84 YANG Mikey 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% -
85 WU KADEN 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 9%
86 EVANS Harvey 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
87 REED Andrew 100% 96% 72% 32% 6% -
88 LI Ethan 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
89 LEE Cooper 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
90 LI Ethan 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
90 AKKARA Skyler 100% 91% 61% 23% 5% - -
92 KOU Logan 100% 81% 42% 11% 2% - -
93 HAO Hardy 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
93 FONG Ethan 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
95 WANG Franklin 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
96 MATUSOW Brandon 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
97 LEE Daniel 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
98 SHARMA Mihir 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
98 DARMSTADT-JORY Torben 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
98 DODDAPANENI Arjun 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
101 DAI Greyson 100% 26% 3% - - -
102 ZHANG OWEN 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -
103 KAPLAN David 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
104 POLIAKOV Timur 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
105 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
106 ZHAO Jonathan Li 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
107 LEE Connor 100% 73% 29% 6% - -
108 LI nathan zeting 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
109 DING Derek 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
110 SCHIPPER Ludwig 100% 64% 19% 3% - - -
111 GONG Rongtao 100% 78% 32% 6% 1% - -
112 LIN Conner 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
112 WANG Alexander 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
114 WANG Aaron 100% 89% 54% 20% 4% - -
116 YANG Rony 100% 75% 29% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.