GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 8:00 AM

MSA Fieldhouse - GRAND RAPIDS, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JONES Reilly 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
2 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
3 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 22% 2%
5 PENG Ethan 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% < 1%
6 PECKENS Tyler 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
7 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
8 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 100% 100% 97% 80% 37% 6%
9 CURTY Jack 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 13%
10 STREETER Oliver 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
11 HURLEY Michael 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
12 BOSS Evan 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
13 LARSON Vaughn 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
14 HUANG Max 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
15 DRAWZ Chase 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
16 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 90% 55% 15% 2% -
17 BAGDONAS Olivier 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
18 HALL Gabriel 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
19 ELLIS, IV Floyd 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
20 JERDEE Colton 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
21 BROUGHAM Brice 100% 71% 26% 4% - -
22 LIU-XUE Shuliang 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
23 ASIALA Niilo 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
24 YATES Graeme 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
25 ULMAN Nathan 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
26 TICHENOR Abreham 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
27 GOODMAN Liam 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
28 FORTUNA Chase 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
29 SEABLOOM Jack 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
30 WILTSE Alexander 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
31 SANFORD Wesley 100% 82% 39% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.