November NAC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, November 15, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fort Worth Convention Center - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72%
2 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
3 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
3 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 8%
5 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 99% 77%
6 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
7 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
8 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
9 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
9 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
11 CHO Alex 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 30%
12 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
13 GUNDUBOGULA Saket 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
14 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13% 1%
15 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 2%
16 RUBIN Nathan 100% 99% 83% 45% 13% 1%
17 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
18 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
19 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
20 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
21 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
22 TANG Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 2%
23 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% -
24 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
25 LAU LUCAS 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 3%
26 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
27 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
28 YANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
29 DENG Henry 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
30 CORTRIGHT Edmund 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 15%
31 VAN RIET Stefan 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
32 ENG Kyler 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
33 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
34 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
35 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
36 LIU Austin 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
37 LAJOIE Christophe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
38 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
39 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 16%
40 WONG Aaron 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
41 HENNESSY Levon 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
42 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12%
43 BORAN Brooks 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3%
44 SHI Jian-An 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 10%
45 LEE Lucas 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
46 CHEN Cameron 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7% -
47 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
48 ZHANG jonathan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
49 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 16% 2%
50 LEUNG Dylan 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
51 OR Anson 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
52 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 19%
53 LEE Daniel 100% 99% 92% 55% 7%
54 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 9%
55 KIM Doyun 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3%
56 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 97% 73% 24% 1%
57 RUAN Yichen 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
58 VOO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
59 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
60 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9% -
61 KIM Leejay 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
61 LI Andy 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
63 FOGEL Jake 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
64 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
65 WU Matthew 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
66 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
67 PARRA Lucas 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
68 LIU Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
69 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
69 HERDMAN Julian 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
71 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 16% 3%
72 LEWIS Michael 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
73 FU Nolan 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 15%
74 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
75 MOU Jaydon 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
76 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 3%
77 PARSA Rayan 100% 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
78 YU Brandon 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
79 BACON Corban 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
80 ZHANG Luqi 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
81 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
82 LU Ian 100% 87% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
83 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
84 TOY Tanner 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
85 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
86 LIU Xuyao 100% 99% 84% 48% 14% 1%
87 RODRIGUEZ Emiliano 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
88 SCHNEIDER Ronan 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
89 OLIVAS Joseph 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 2%
90 CHEN Aiden 100% 98% 79% 40% 10% 1%
91 ZHENG Jason 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% -
92 XUE Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
93 WANG Eason 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
94 SU Samuel 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
95 MYRAH Devin 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
96 DENG Destin 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
97 THOMAS Andrew 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
98 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
99 GOODMAN Liam 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 7% -
100 CHIANG William 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% -
101 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
102 GUO Luke 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 18% 2%
103 WU MiEr 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
104 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
105 HAN Keyi 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
107 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
108 WANG Devin 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
109 BRESLAV Asher 100% 98% 80% 34% 7% -
110 DIESSNER Henry 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% -
111 BALUCAN Caelus 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 7% 1%
112 LI Grayson 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 11%
113 CHAUDHRY Aahil 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 31% 7%
114 YANG Julian 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
115 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 97% 66% 25% 5% - -
116 LIN Daniel 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
117 GAO Ryan 100% 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
118 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
119 GAO Yuxiang 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
120 MA Nolan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
121 TSIEN Richard 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
122 SONG Aidan 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
123 GARIKIPATI Tharan 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% -
124 CHEN Linus 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
125 KOU Mason 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
126 TANG Colin 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
127 SHOURIE Seth 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
128 LIU-XUE Shuliang 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% - -
129 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
130 KIM Julian 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
130 LIU Max 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 10% 1%
132 FEELY Benjamin 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
132 WANG Juehan 100% 98% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
134 GEVA Reuben 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
135 CHEN Christopher 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
136 CHEN Daniel 100% 97% 80% 47% 18% 4% -
137 RONG Marcus 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
138 FREEMAN Jake Matthew 100% 95% 65% 24% 4% -
139 YUE Bryan 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
139 ZHANG Eric 100% 82% 40% 11% 1% -
141 CHO Joshua 100% 69% 20% 2% -
142 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 98% 76% 34% 8% 1%
142 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 100% 36% 6% - - -
145 LEE Leo 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
146 PLUMMER Kellan 100% 83% 44% 14% 2% - -
147 TREVINO Lucas 100% 95% 59% 21% 4% - -
148 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
149 KNYSH IURII 100% 92% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
150 PIMIENTO Tomas 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
151 ATKINS Elan 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
152 LIN Bryan 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
153 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
154 FRENCH Drake 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
155 KHAVKIN Alexander 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% -
156 JERKINS Gianni 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
157 HUA Nolan 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% -
158 LIU Yihong 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
159 ZAGRAN Ivan 100% 73% 23% 3% - -
160 TIAN Dylan 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
161 NARAYANUN Advay 100% 56% 10% 1% - -
162 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% -
162 MASOR MAX 100% 71% 28% 5% 1% -
164 JONES Gideon 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
165 KRAVCHENKO Philip 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
166 ZHANG Aiden 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
167 SMITH Billy 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
168 ISMAILOV Alan 100% 81% 35% 7% 1% - -
169 KELLY Blair 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
170 SHOURIE Neel 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
171 CIANCHETTA David 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
172 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
173 LIN Edison 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
174 HEADRICK Liam 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
174 SONG Eric 100% 95% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
176 LAI Jayden 100% 95% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
177 JIANG Aidan 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
178 CHAN Joseph 100% 63% 21% 3% - -
179 KLOTS Theo 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
180 VANAMA Agastya 100% 66% 18% 2% -
181 ABRAHAM Aaron 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% -
182 RUDIGER George 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
183 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
184 JIMENEZ PARRA Dorian D 100% 31% 4% - - -
185 WOOLCOCK Cash 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
186 LEE Joshua 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% - -
187 TRAN Thomas 100% 84% 49% 17% 4% - -
188 SRINIVAS Rohan 100% 36% 5% - - -
189 DENTON Kaleb 100% 22% 2% - - - -
189 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
191 EFIMOV Georgii 100% 29% 3% - - - -
192 TAN Samuel 100% 38% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.