MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
2 ZHANG Katie Q. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
3 LAI Olivia 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
3 SITU Baiqin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
5 HO Kasper 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
6 ZHU Claire 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
7 LIN Zhengxuan 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
8 YANG Jaron 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8% -
9 LIN Tiffany 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
10 WONG Sebastian 100% 98% 81% 40% 9% - -
11 SOUSA Lauren 100% 87% 47% 13% 2% - -
12 ZHONG Dexter 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
13 GU Alexandra 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
14 LUO Derren 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
15 JACOBE Jakyn 100% 64% 23% 5% - -
16 ZHAI Muyan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
17 GEMBALA Theodore 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
18 PARK Thomas 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
19 BROME Zachary 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 10% 1%
20 ZENG Cayden 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
21 KAYAL Alexander 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
22 LEE Harry 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
23 MURPHY Ava 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
24 LIN Cyrus 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
25 SIN Chad 100% 89% 50% 14% 2% - -
26 HOVAGHIMIAN Atticus 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
27 COOK Owen 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
28 SHUM KEIRA 100% 95% 68% 26% 5% - -
29 KALIN Trysten 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44% 6%
30 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 100% 94% 60% 21% 4% -
31 MAK Avery 100% 98% 74% 34% 9% 1% -
32 WONG Kingston 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
33 HSU Courtney 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
34 MAO Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.