Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
2 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 ZHAI Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 14%
3 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
5 SONG Enoch 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
6 OH Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
7 YANG David H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
8 WU Alexander 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
9 BAI Austin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
10 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 13%
11 XIAN Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
12 WEI JR Shan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
13 SUSANTO William 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
14 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
15 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 64%
16 CHENG Karter 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% -
17 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
18 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
19 KAYE Ben 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 16%
20 HU Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
21 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
22 GUGALA Frank 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
23 BEYDOUN Sam 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
24 TARCHICHI Daniel 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
25 CHOI Hunter 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
26 QIAN Will 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
27 VENAFRO Tristan 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 3%
28 AHMAD Uzayr 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 17% 2%
29 KEEGAN Cole 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
30 ZHONG Kingsley 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
31 CHEN Keegan 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
32 WU David 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
33 WANG Joshua 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% < 1%
34 KUPERBERG Thomas 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 4%
35 PARK Gi Beom 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
36 SHAW Eric 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
37 MA Matthew 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
38 CHAE Thomas Woojin 100% 97% 75% 33% 7% - -
39 XIA Vincent 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
40 LEE Thomas 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
41 BAS Jonathan 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
42 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19% 2%
43 LEVKOVICH Avery 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
44 AYYAGARI Abhiram 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 9%
45 RAJAT Rivaan 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% -
46 STILES Sumner 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
47 DENG Jonathan 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
48 RYU Dae Hyeon 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
49 LIU jeremy 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
50 ZHANG Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
51 WONG Maxwell 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
52 FREL Vincent 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 3%
53 LIN Joshua 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 1%
54 ZHANG Ethan 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
55 LEE Ryan 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
56 ZHAO David 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
57 DAWSON Myer 100% 99% 88% 49% 12% 1%
58 PLOSSER Charlie 100% 99% 88% 51% 13% 1%
59 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
60 TANG Michael 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
61 DENG Jonathan 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
62 HUANG Marcus 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
63 PEARCE Joseph 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1%
64 LIN Qianzhong 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
65 BRADY David 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 3% -
66 CORDERO Javier 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
67 YEUNG rex 100% 74% 30% 5% - -
68 DAVE Neil 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
69 HAN Jiaren 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% 1%
69 CHEN Kevin 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
71 MANCHALA Vedanth 100% 97% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
72 KIM Albert 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
73 CHEUNG Zachary 100% 88% 50% 12% 1% -
74 ALABI Adriel 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
75 GOLI Arush 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 9% -
76 AMR HOSSNY Adam 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
77 SONG Tristan 100% 74% 30% 6% - - -
78 WU Max 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 12% 1%
79 PANG Owen 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
80 KOO Jaeha 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
81 ZHENG Vincent 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
82 PELLERIN Liam 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
83 VAN DER HARTEN Lukas 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% - -
84 LAWRENCE James 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
85 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 95% 74% 30% 4%
86 SHEN Lucas 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2%
87 BHOSREKAR Som 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
88 BHATTACHARYA Dhruv 100% 34% 4% - - -
89 LIU Kunshuo 100% 91% 45% 10% 1% -
90 DAVIDSON Henry 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
91 JIANG Ethan 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
92 FOMIN Dashiell 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
92 TIMCHENKO Fiodor 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
94 GUTKOVSKIY Ryan 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
95 NAYAK Saideep 100% 74% 26% 4% - - -
96 PARISH-MORRIS Jay 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
97 CHUN Owen 100% 78% 37% 10% 2% - -
98 CHONG Cooper 100% 100% 93% 69% 28% 4% -
99 SUN Andrew 100% 65% 20% 3% - - -
100 IM Andrew 100% 77% 31% 6% 1% - -
101 LIN Ethan 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% -
102 CASTILLO Hector 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1% -
103 SNYDER Winston 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
104 DING Jacob 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
105 TANAKA Nico 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
106 LIU KELVIN 100% 38% 6% 1% - - -
106 KOFMAN Daniel 100% 74% 30% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.