Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Ashley - - - 2% 18% 70% 11%
2 YARBILOVA Fasikhat - - - 1% 17% 83%
3 KIM Abigail - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
3 LAI Juliet - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
5 YIN Elaine - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
6 CHEN Laila - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 20%
7 LEE Nicole - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
8 SHEN Sophia 3% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
9 SIU Mila - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
10 LEE Zoe - - 4% 27% 60% 8%
11 TANG Jacquelyn - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
12 KIM Charlotte - 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 5%
13 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
14 LIU Brinley - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
15 JI Susan - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
16 SALIBA Madison 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
17 BOUTSIKARIS Asha - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
18 GOFMAN Anastasia - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
19 MERHEJ Lea - 4% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2%
20 ZHAO Rachel - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
21 XU Yunshu - - - 1% 9% 35% 54%
22 KANDHI Aryaa - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
23 HAN Emma - - - 3% 14% 39% 44%
24 YOUNG Penelope - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
25 CHEN Reina - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13% -
26 SELASSIE Semara 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
27 CHOI Yerin - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
28 OLVECZKY Camilla - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
29 LEE Iona 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
30 ERATA Selena 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
31 WILLIAMS Valentina 10% 34% 38% 16% 2% -
32 BONTHAPALLY Maitreyee S. 3% 21% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
33 KAMENSKY Emilia - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
34 JIN Serena 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
35 CHOI Noah 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
36 VILLER Gabriella - 5% 21% 38% 29% 6% -
37 GURTIN Aleksandra 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
38 WANG Katherine 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
39 CHEN Emily 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1%
40 DONE Kennedy 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
41 GRECO Athena 4% 22% 38% 28% 8% - -
42 GUAN Charlotte 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
43 WU Caroline 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
44 LEE Zerah 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
45 CARACCIOLO Emma 5% 25% 41% 25% 3% -
46 KAUR Harjas 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
47 MAO Faith 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
48 CHALLAMEL Heloise - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
49 LIOU Skylar - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
50 GORDON Winter 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
51 NEMAT Kamila 1% 6% 22% 34% 27% 10% 1%
52 BONDE Trisha 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
53 QIN Olivia 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
54 CAMPOS Elena 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
55 ZHU Kaylee 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -
56 YU sage 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
57 YOON Michelle 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
58 KOTHARI Elina 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
59 MARGAGLIONE Veronica 7% 31% 41% 19% 2% -
60 LUO MAOSHUEN 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
61 LATORRE Alexa 9% 38% 37% 14% 2% - -
61 DARMAWAN Thea 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
63 KAUR Harman 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
64 STEWART Emily 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
65 YULO Jamie 27% 44% 24% 5% - -
66 ALVAREZ Megan 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
67 VENKATESH Uma - 4% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
68 MENG Yinuo 7% 25% 34% 24% 8% 2% -
69 LIN Evelyn - < 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
70 CHOI Serine 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
71 LUO MAOMAO 7% 24% 33% 24% 9% 2% -
72 VENGERTSEVA Margaret 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
73 LEUNG Hayden 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
74 LAI Serena 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.