Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Friday, November 28, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Amy(Chenyu) - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
2 CARCELLER Bernardita (Tini) - - - - 3% 24% 72%
3 SUN Milly - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
3 XIE ANDREA - - 4% 29% 51% 16%
5 ZHANG Ashley - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
6 YANG Hannah - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
7 WU Evelyn - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 2%
8 MOKRETSOV Leah - - - 6% 36% 58%
9 LIN Alexis - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
11 LAI Juliet - 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
12 QI Chelsie - - 4% 18% 38% 31% 9%
13 FAN Joy - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
14 BOUTSIKARIS Asha - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
15 XI Emily - 2% 13% 35% 36% 13%
16 TANG Jacquelyn - 5% 22% 38% 26% 7% 1%
17 CHEN Reina 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
18 WANG Yvonne - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
19 LIU Brinley - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
20 ZHU YUNXI - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 5%
21 SIU Mila - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 7%
21 CHEN Laila - 1% 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
23 VILLER Alice - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 20%
24 FURMAN Elizabeth - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
25 YOUNG Penelope - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
26 LEONG Andrea 1% 11% 32% 39% 16%
27 LI Ariel - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
28 CHANEY Evelyn - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
29 REDWINE Louise 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
30 JI Susan - 1% 8% 24% 38% 25% 4%
31 CHEN Madeline - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
32 LEE Nicole - 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3%
33 CHEN freya - 2% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
34 ILYAS Daanya - 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
35 YIN Elaine - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 4%
36 FAYEZ Malika - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
37 KIM Charlotte - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
38 SALUBRO Vivianna 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
39 LI Kayla - 2% 11% 32% 39% 17%
40 KIM Abigail - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
41 KANDHI Aryaa 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
42 ZHAO Rachel - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
43 PATEL Aria 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
44 PATEL Agena 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 6% -
45 LIU Zoe 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
46 SHEN Sophia 2% 25% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
47 LI Elva 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
48 GURTIN Sasha 2% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
49 CHANG Hannah - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
49 CHOI Elina - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
51 CHALLAMEL Heloise 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1%
52 TAN Abriel 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
53 PARKE Jaime - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
54 HAN Emma - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
55 ZHAO Crystal - 4% 22% 47% 24% 3%
56 KIM Lina 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
57 CHEN Emily 21% 42% 28% 8% 1%
58 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
59 CHOI Noah 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
60 XU Yunshu 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
61 WANG Jenny wang 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
62 KIM Kate 5% 23% 40% 26% 6%
63 SALIBA Madison 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
64 ERATA Selena 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
65 URICHECK Julianna - 2% 11% 34% 38% 15%
66 ALVAREZ Megan 12% 40% 37% 10% 1% -
67 WANG Hailie - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
68 CHUNG Yenna - 7% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
69 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
70 LIOU Skylar 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
71 KUO Stella 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 4% -
72 BONDE Trisha 7% 33% 38% 17% 4% - -
73 GROMOVA Vlada 3% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1%
74 NEMAT Kamila 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
75 SELASSIE Semara 18% 41% 30% 9% 1%
76 VILLER Gabriella 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
77 KWON Allison 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
78 RODRIGUEZ Ivy - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
79 YOON Michelle 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
80 LUO MAOSHUEN 3% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
81 QIN Olivia 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
82 VENKATESH Uma 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
83 OLVECZKY Camilla 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
84 YOU Nina 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
85 HONG Catherine 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
86 WU Caroline 13% 41% 36% 9% 1% -
87 VAZIRANI Jiya 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
88 LEWIN Isabelle 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
89 CHOI Serine 48% 40% 11% 1% - -
90 MAO Faith 6% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
91 MERHEJ Lea 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
92 MERHEJ Liv 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
93 MU Jasmine 3% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
94 WILLIAMS Valentina 40% 42% 15% 3% - - -
95 WANG Katherine 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
96 LIN Evelyn 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
97 MISHIMA Quinn 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
98 JOSE EVA - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
99 SHANG Adeline 27% 45% 23% 5% - - -
100 GORDON Winter 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
101 DONE Kennedy 6% 31% 41% 19% 4% -
102 CARACCIOLO Emma 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
103 ZHU Kaylee 38% 45% 16% 2% - -
104 LATORRE Alexa 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
105 KAUR Harman 52% 38% 10% 1% - - -
106 YULO Jamie 76% 21% 2% - - - -
107 LUO MAOMAO 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.