Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Friday, November 28, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Amy(Chenyu) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
2 CARCELLER Bernardita (Tini) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 SUN Milly 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 26%
3 XIE ANDREA 100% 100% 100% 96% 67% 16%
5 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
6 YANG Hannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
7 WU Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 2%
8 MOKRETSOV Leah 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 58%
9 LIN Alexis 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
11 LAI Juliet 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
12 QI Chelsie 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
13 FAN Joy 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
14 BOUTSIKARIS Asha 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
15 XI Emily 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
16 TANG Jacquelyn 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
17 CHEN Reina 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
18 WANG Yvonne 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
19 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
20 ZHU YUNXI 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
21 SIU Mila 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 7%
21 CHEN Laila 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
23 VILLER Alice 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
24 FURMAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
25 YOUNG Penelope 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
26 LEONG Andrea 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
27 LI Ariel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
28 CHANEY Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
29 REDWINE Louise 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
30 JI Susan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 4%
31 CHEN Madeline 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
32 LEE Nicole 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
33 CHEN freya 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
34 ILYAS Daanya 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
35 YIN Elaine 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
36 FAYEZ Malika 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
37 KIM Charlotte 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
38 SALUBRO Vivianna 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
39 LI Kayla 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
40 KIM Abigail 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
41 KANDHI Aryaa 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 1%
42 ZHAO Rachel 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
43 PATEL Aria 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 8% 1%
44 PATEL Agena 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% -
45 LIU Zoe 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
46 SHEN Sophia 100% 98% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
47 LI Elva 100% 89% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
48 GURTIN Sasha 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
49 CHANG Hannah 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
49 CHOI Elina 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
51 CHALLAMEL Heloise 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
52 TAN Abriel 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
53 PARKE Jaime 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
54 HAN Emma 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
55 ZHAO Crystal 100% 100% 96% 74% 27% 3%
56 KIM Lina 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
57 CHEN Emily 100% 79% 37% 9% 1%
58 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
59 CHOI Noah 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
60 XU Yunshu 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
61 WANG Jenny wang 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
62 KIM Kate 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
63 SALIBA Madison 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
64 ERATA Selena 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
65 URICHECK Julianna 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15%
66 ALVAREZ Megan 100% 88% 48% 10% 1% -
67 WANG Hailie 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 11% 1%
68 CHUNG Yenna 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
69 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
70 LIOU Skylar 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
71 KUO Stella 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
72 BONDE Trisha 100% 93% 60% 21% 4% - -
73 GROMOVA Vlada 100% 97% 75% 37% 9% 1%
74 NEMAT Kamila 100% 93% 63% 24% 5% -
75 SELASSIE Semara 100% 82% 40% 10% 1%
76 VILLER Gabriella 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
77 KWON Allison 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
78 RODRIGUEZ Ivy 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
79 YOON Michelle 100% 89% 53% 19% 4% - -
80 LUO MAOSHUEN 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
81 QIN Olivia 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
82 VENKATESH Uma 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
83 OLVECZKY Camilla 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
84 YOU Nina 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
85 HONG Catherine 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
86 WU Caroline 100% 87% 46% 9% 1% -
87 VAZIRANI Jiya 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
88 LEWIN Isabelle 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
89 CHOI Serine 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
90 MAO Faith 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
91 MERHEJ Lea 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
92 MERHEJ Liv 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
93 MU Jasmine 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
94 WILLIAMS Valentina 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
95 WANG Katherine 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
96 LIN Evelyn 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
97 MISHIMA Quinn 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
98 JOSE EVA 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
99 SHANG Adeline 100% 73% 28% 5% - - -
100 GORDON Winter 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
101 DONE Kennedy 100% 94% 63% 22% 4% -
102 CARACCIOLO Emma 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
103 ZHU Kaylee 100% 62% 17% 2% - -
104 LATORRE Alexa 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
105 KAUR Harman 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
106 YULO Jamie 100% 24% 2% - - - -
107 LUO MAOMAO 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.