Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VIJAY Vaishnavi - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
2 YIP Allison - - - 3% 21% 52% 24%
3 LI Anna - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
3 VINLUAN Emma - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9% 1%
5 LIAO irene - - - 1% 8% 41% 50%
6 FU Shannon - - - - 1% 15% 84%
7 ZHAO Ellie - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
8 KOU Cynthia - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
9 LI Allison - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
10 YU Chloe - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
11 DEJOY Leilah 2% 17% 38% 34% 10%
12 WANG Kercedes Ye 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
13 KUSHNERENKO Maiia 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1% -
14 HUANG Jui-An - 5% 19% 35% 30% 11% -
15 LU Chu 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
16 MIAO Anthea - 5% 25% 40% 25% 5%
17 DU Chelsea - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
18 YANG Nina - - 1% 9% 31% 44% 14%
19 SUN Joanna - 5% 22% 43% 29%
20 ARNOLD Evangeline - 1% 9% 30% 41% 20%
21 DU Chloe - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
22 MUHLENBRUCH Cora 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5% -
23 WONG Isabelle 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
24 FLYNN Kensington 1% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
25 LICON Katherine 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 6%
26 RONG Hilary 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1%
27 HUANG Sophie 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% -
28 VOO Evelyn 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
29 CHONG Emma 4% 24% 41% 26% 5%
30 STEPHAN Antje Elisa 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
31 LIU Emma 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
31 LI zoey 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 2% -
33 LYNTON Alexandra - 9% 31% 38% 19% 3%
34 TRUONG Chloe 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
35 WANG Phoebe 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
36 CHU Brianna 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5% -
37 LYNTON Olivia - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
38 LEE Layla 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
40 SU Hermione Su 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
41 WANG Olivia 6% 26% 39% 24% 6% - -
42 SCHMIDT Alexis 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
43 BAI lufei 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
44 SHIH Eva 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
45 DEFENSOR Ella 16% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
46 MA Sloane 37% 43% 17% 3% -
47 PARKE Jaime 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
48 ZHANG ANGELA 8% 30% 39% 20% 3%
49 YU Elise 35% 42% 19% 4% - -
50 PUTTAMRAJU Nithya 5% 37% 39% 16% 3% -
51 SHIH Cayla 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
52 DING Xuanwen - 1% 11% 34% 38% 15% -
53 WANG Elizabeth 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
54 SUN Annika 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
55 MANDAP Natalya 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
56 ZHOU Emily < 1% 14% 38% 34% 11% 1% -
57 ROBERTSON Sienna 79% 20% 2% - - -
58 KANE Sloan 29% 43% 22% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.