Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
2 YIP Allison 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 24%
3 LI Anna 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 VINLUAN Emma 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9% 1%
5 LIAO irene 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 50%
6 FU Shannon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
7 ZHAO Ellie 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 16%
8 KOU Cynthia 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
9 LI Allison 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
10 YU Chloe 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
11 DEJOY Leilah 100% 98% 81% 43% 10%
12 WANG Kercedes Ye 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
13 KUSHNERENKO Maiia 100% 98% 82% 47% 13% 1% -
14 HUANG Jui-An 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% -
15 LU Chu 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
16 MIAO Anthea 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
17 DU Chelsea 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
18 YANG Nina 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 14%
19 SUN Joanna 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
20 ARNOLD Evangeline 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
21 DU Chloe 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
22 MUHLENBRUCH Cora 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5% -
23 WONG Isabelle 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
24 FLYNN Kensington 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 2%
25 LICON Katherine 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
26 RONG Hilary 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
27 HUANG Sophie 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% -
28 VOO Evelyn 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
29 CHONG Emma 100% 96% 71% 31% 5%
30 STEPHAN Antje Elisa 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
31 LIU Emma 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
31 LI zoey 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2% -
33 LYNTON Alexandra 100% 100% 91% 60% 22% 3%
34 TRUONG Chloe 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
35 WANG Phoebe 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
36 CHU Brianna 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5% -
37 LYNTON Olivia 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
38 LEE Layla 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
40 SU Hermione Su 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
41 WANG Olivia 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% - -
42 SCHMIDT Alexis 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
43 BAI lufei 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
44 SHIH Eva 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
45 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% -
46 MA Sloane 100% 63% 20% 3% -
47 PARKE Jaime 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
48 ZHANG ANGELA 100% 92% 62% 23% 3%
49 YU Elise 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
50 PUTTAMRAJU Nithya 100% 95% 58% 19% 3% -
51 SHIH Cayla 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
52 DING Xuanwen 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 15% -
53 WANG Elizabeth 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
54 SUN Annika 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
55 MANDAP Natalya 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
56 ZHOU Emily 100% 100% 86% 47% 13% 1% -
57 ROBERTSON Sienna 100% 21% 2% - - -
58 KANE Sloan 100% 71% 28% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.