Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Gene - - - - 1% 20% 78%
2 VAN RIET Stefan - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
3 YILMAZ Tarik - - - 4% 17% 40% 39%
3 TANG Michael - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
5 PARKE Nathaniel - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 36%
6 ALI Rayan - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
7 LIU Austin - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17%
8 CHANG Matthew - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 25%
9 KIM Leejay - - 1% 10% 34% 40% 15%
10 GOODMAN Liam - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
11 CAFASSO Alexander - - - 6% 32% 54% 9%
12 GARIKIPATI Tharan 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2%
13 PARKS-GOOD Tyler - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
14 LEUNG Dylan - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
15 RUAN Yichen - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 5%
16 KNYSH IURII 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
17 GRIGORENKO Gleb - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
18 TANG Daniel - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
19 TUMULA Arihaan - - 1% 10% 35% 40% 14%
20 KIM Doyun - - 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
21 HWANG Matthew - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
22 FREEMAN Jake Matthew - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
22 MOSLEY Wally - - 1% 6% 22% 40% 30%
24 LI Andy 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
25 BELETSKII Ivan - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
26 CHAUDHRY Aahil - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
27 ZHAN ETHAN - 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
28 KHAVKIN Alexander - 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
29 LAU Caleb 1% 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
30 WU Nathan 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
31 CHEN Linus 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
32 GALBRAITH Carson 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
33 WONG Kyle - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
34 KICIMAN Louis 3% 22% 42% 27% 6% < 1% -
35 LIN Daniel 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
36 RODRIGUEZ Emiliano 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
37 ROBERTS Arthur - 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 3%
38 ISMAILOV Alan 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
39 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 6% 1%
40 TOY Tanner 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
41 LEE Leo 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 3%
42 KIM Julian 1% 7% 26% 37% 24% 5%
43 NGUYEN Ethan V. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
44 ZHANG Aiden - 1% 9% 32% 44% 14% 1%
45 PLUMMER Kellan 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
46 FRENCH Drake 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
47 DESAI Adithya - 6% 25% 39% 23% 6% 1%
48 YOU Asher 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
49 FU Benjamin 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
50 RAO Vibhav 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
51 LEE Joshua - 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
52 DING Max - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
53 ZHANG Eric 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
54 JIMENEZ PARRA Dorian D 7% 31% 40% 19% 3% - -
55 TREVINO Lucas 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
56 HU Charles 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
57 PARKER Bowen 45% 40% 13% 2% - -
58 PARK Ethan 3% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2%
59 LIN Edison 37% 41% 18% 4% - -
60 DE LOS REYES Noah 5% 31% 42% 19% 3% - -
61 KOU Mason 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
62 HOLDEN Harrison 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
63 EFIMOV Georgii 35% 45% 17% 3% - - -
64 SHAO Mason 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% -
65 YOON Ian 1% 11% 35% 39% 14% 1% -
66 WU James 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
67 DENTON Kaleb 32% 50% 16% 2% - - -
68 KHALID Ilyas 2% 13% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
69 CHO Joshua 5% 20% 34% 27% 12% 2% -
70 CAREY John 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
71 GEVA Reuben 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
72 YUE Bryan 1% 6% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
73 GUO zhaohong 2% 15% 36% 34% 11% 1% -
74 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
75 HOHMAN Elias 42% 41% 14% 2% - - -
76 LIN Oliver 12% 39% 34% 13% 2% - -
77 RIEDL Luke 22% 46% 26% 6% 1% - -
78 GARCIA Allen 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
79 GRANTER John 64% 30% 5% - - - -
80 LOPEZ Elijah 32% 43% 21% 4% - - -
81 KOU Logan 41% 47% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.