Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 78%
2 VAN RIET Stefan 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
3 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
3 TANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 37%
5 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 36%
6 ALI Rayan 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
7 LIU Austin 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 17%
8 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
9 KIM Leejay 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
10 GOODMAN Liam 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
11 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62% 9%
12 GARIKIPATI Tharan 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2%
13 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
14 LEUNG Dylan 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
15 RUAN Yichen 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
16 KNYSH IURII 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% -
17 GRIGORENKO Gleb 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
18 TANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 24%
19 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
20 KIM Doyun 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
21 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
22 FREEMAN Jake Matthew 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
22 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 30%
24 LI Andy 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
25 BELETSKII Ivan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
26 CHAUDHRY Aahil 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
27 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 2%
28 KHAVKIN Alexander 100% 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1%
29 LAU Caleb 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
30 WU Nathan 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
31 CHEN Linus 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
32 GALBRAITH Carson 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
33 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
34 KICIMAN Louis 100% 97% 75% 33% 6% < 1% -
35 LIN Daniel 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
36 RODRIGUEZ Emiliano 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
37 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
38 ISMAILOV Alan 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
39 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
40 TOY Tanner 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
41 LEE Leo 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
42 KIM Julian 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
43 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 11% 1%
44 ZHANG Aiden 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 14% 1%
45 PLUMMER Kellan 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
46 FRENCH Drake 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
47 DESAI Adithya 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% 1%
48 YOU Asher 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
49 FU Benjamin 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
50 RAO Vibhav 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% - -
51 LEE Joshua 100% 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% -
52 DING Max 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
53 ZHANG Eric 100% 97% 84% 53% 22% 5% -
54 JIMENEZ PARRA Dorian D 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% - -
55 TREVINO Lucas 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
56 HU Charles 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 7% 1%
57 PARKER Bowen 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
58 PARK Ethan 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
59 LIN Edison 100% 63% 22% 4% - -
60 DE LOS REYES Noah 100% 95% 64% 23% 3% - -
61 KOU Mason 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
62 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
63 EFIMOV Georgii 100% 65% 20% 3% - - -
64 SHAO Mason 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
65 YOON Ian 100% 99% 89% 54% 15% 1% -
66 WU James 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
67 DENTON Kaleb 100% 68% 18% 2% - - -
68 KHALID Ilyas 100% 98% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
69 CHO Joshua 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
70 CAREY John 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
71 GEVA Reuben 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
72 YUE Bryan 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
73 GUO zhaohong 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 2% -
74 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
75 HOHMAN Elias 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
76 LIN Oliver 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% - -
77 RIEDL Luke 100% 78% 32% 6% 1% - -
78 GARCIA Allen 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
79 GRANTER John 100% 36% 5% - - - -
80 LOPEZ Elijah 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
81 KOU Logan 100% 59% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.