Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HWANG Matthew - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
2 LIU Austin - - 2% 9% 26% 39% 23%
3 GALBRAITH Carson - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 21%
3 TANG Daniel - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
5 WONG Kyle - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
6 BELETSKII Ivan - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
7 GARIKIPATI Tharan - 5% 23% 38% 27% 7%
8 SHAO Mason 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
9 MOSLEY Wally - - - 4% 23% 50% 22%
10 WU Nathan - 2% 15% 34% 35% 13%
11 ROBERTS Arthur - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 21%
12 PARK Ethan - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
13 ZHANG Aiden - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
14 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) - 2% 12% 31% 37% 16%
15 LEE Leo - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
16 GEVA Reuben - 7% 25% 38% 24% 6%
17 LI Andy - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
18 CAREY John - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 9%
19 RODRIGUEZ Emiliano - 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
20 BELETSKII Fedor - - - 1% 12% 43% 44%
21 KHALID Ilyas 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2%
22 CHEN Linus - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
23 LEE Joshua - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
24 JIANG Adam - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
25 DING Max - 6% 25% 38% 25% 6%
26 CHI Zachary 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5% -
27 FU Benjamin 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
28 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
29 YOON Ian 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
30 YOU Asher - 1% 10% 30% 41% 19%
31 FAYEZ Adam 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
32 LEUNG Joon - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
33 WU James 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
34 YUE Bryan - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
35 DESAI Adithya - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
36 HAO hardy 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
37 ALI Akash 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
38 KICIMAN Louis 4% 25% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
39 HOHMAN Elias 13% 49% 30% 8% 1% - -
40 VAN RIET Matteo 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 4% -
41 HU Charles - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
41 BOGDAN Fyodor 7% 29% 39% 20% 4% - -
43 GOLDBERG Simon 13% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
44 KAPP Eamon 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
45 THOMSON Piers 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
46 SATHYAN Dhruv 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
47 DE LOS REYES Noah 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
48 SADLER Leon 82% 16% 1% - - -
49 TAN Samuel 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
50 LIN Oliver 13% 42% 32% 11% 2% - -
50 GUO zhaohong 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
52 XIONG Alec 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
53 DUCHNOWSKI Kempson 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
54 GRANTER John 64% 31% 4% - - - -
55 SURAPANENI Vihaan 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
56 KOU Logan 53% 38% 8% 1% - - -
57 LOPEZ Elijah 55% 36% 9% 1% - -
58 BALLEZA Maximilian 1% 19% 38% 30% 11% 1%
59 CHEN Nathan 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
60 GUNAWAN Warren 42% 41% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.