Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
2 LIU Austin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
3 GALBRAITH Carson 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
3 TANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
5 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 19%
6 BELETSKII Ivan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
7 GARIKIPATI Tharan 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
8 SHAO Mason 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
9 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 22%
10 WU Nathan 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
11 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 21%
12 PARK Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6%
13 ZHANG Aiden 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
14 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
15 LEE Leo 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
16 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6%
17 LI Andy 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
18 CAREY John 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
19 RODRIGUEZ Emiliano 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
20 BELETSKII Fedor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
21 KHALID Ilyas 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2%
22 CHEN Linus 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9% 1%
23 LEE Joshua 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
24 JIANG Adam 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
25 DING Max 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
26 CHI Zachary 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 6% -
27 FU Benjamin 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
28 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
29 YOON Ian 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
30 YOU Asher 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
31 FAYEZ Adam 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
32 LEUNG Joon 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
33 WU James 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1%
34 YUE Bryan 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
35 DESAI Adithya 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
36 HAO hardy 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
37 ALI Akash 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
38 KICIMAN Louis 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
39 HOHMAN Elias 100% 87% 39% 9% 1% - -
40 VAN RIET Matteo 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4% -
41 HU Charles 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
41 BOGDAN Fyodor 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
43 GOLDBERG Simon 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
44 KAPP Eamon 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
45 THOMSON Piers 100% 99% 84% 50% 16% 2%
46 SATHYAN Dhruv 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
47 DE LOS REYES Noah 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
48 SADLER Leon 100% 18% 1% - - -
49 TAN Samuel 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
50 LIN Oliver 100% 87% 45% 12% 2% - -
50 GUO zhaohong 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
52 XIONG Alec 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
53 DUCHNOWSKI Kempson 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
54 GRANTER John 100% 36% 5% - - - -
55 SURAPANENI Vihaan 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
56 KOU Logan 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
57 LOPEZ Elijah 100% 45% 10% 1% - -
58 BALLEZA Maximilian 100% 99% 80% 42% 12% 1%
59 CHEN Nathan 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
60 GUNAWAN Warren 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.