October NAC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, October 20, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BESSIRE Nolan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
2 SUN Jinfeng 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
3 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
3 WU Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
5 CHOI Ethan L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
6 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
7 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
8 GUPTA Eashan 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
9 CHAN Tyler 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
10 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
11 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
12 ZHOU TIMMY 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
13 SANTULLI Tristan 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
14 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
15 SCHULTES Evans 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
16 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
17 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
18 DESHMUKH Ayush 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
19 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
20 SHIBU Pranav 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
21 CATLIN Adam 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
22 TSANG Matthew K. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
23 WAN Jason 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
24 AVRON Case B. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
25 CAI Jason Zhicheng 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
26 VANNI Filippo A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
27 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
28 WONG NICHOLAS A. 100% 99% 93% 69% 35% 10% 1%
29 QIAN Michael 100% 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
30 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 6% 1%
31 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
32 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
33 YI Stephen K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
34 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
35 LIM Ari 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
36 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11%
37 HORSLEY Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
38 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
39 BREIER Matthew F. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
40 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
40 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
42 LEVESQUE Louis 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% < 1% -
43 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1%
44 WU Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
45 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 3%
46 NGUYEN Nish 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 4%
47 ANDERSON Colton J. 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2%
48 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
49 RAMIREZ David 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
50 TRAUGOT Braden (Brady) C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
51 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
52 MAO Connor 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
53 YU Anders 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
54 DROUTMAN Ryan 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
55 KIM Aaron J. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
56 GATZA Logan 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
57 MURRAY Maximo 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
58 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
59 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
60 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
61 XU Max 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
62 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
63 DANKAR Neel 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 2%
64 STEPHENS Maximilian A. 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
65 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
66 CRALEY Thomas M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
67 KLEIN Caleb R. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 11%
68 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
69 JAUME Andrei 100% 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
70 BERGER Noe A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
71 XIAO Anthony 100% 98% 84% 56% 24% 6% 1%
72 BERGEN Thomas R. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
73 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 27% 5%
74 NEWHARD Noah A. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
75 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
76 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
77 PAI Dong-Ying 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
78 WU Jerry 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
79 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
80 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
81 WITTENBERG Jackson H. 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
81 DARIANO Noah G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
83 SONG Dylan S. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
84 HSIUNG Richie 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
85 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
86 MILLER Duncan R. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
87 WANG Michael 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
88 MAHDI Mahdi 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
89 PIESNER Joshua C. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
90 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
91 LE Vyn A. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
92 PHAM-CHANG Duke A. 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
93 KIM Ian M. 100% 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
94 RYAN Francis D. 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
95 WERWA Griffith 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% - -
96 LARGAESPADA LUIS V. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
96 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22% 2%
98 MILLIAN Matthew 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
99 PIERCE Logan 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
100 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20%
101 KIM Derek A. 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
101 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
103 UPTON Craig 100% 82% 29% 5% - - -
104 GILLIAM Jason E. 100% 87% 55% 23% 6% 1% -
104 CHOI Samuel 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
106 HAINES Ethan 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
107 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
108 SKYWARK Andrew 100% 93% 58% 21% 4% - -
109 GAO William 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
110 LI Ryan Z. 100% 85% 47% 16% 3% - -
111 GLOVER James 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
112 IVARSSON Oliver 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
113 RIOS Ethan 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
114 LANG Dong Lin 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
115 KAZA Nitish 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
116 KIM BANSEOK 100% 98% 60% 20% 4% - -
117 SHIKHMAN Robert 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
118 SWEENEY Quinn 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
118 GHAZALI Omer 100% 91% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
120 OAKLAND Brennan D. 100% 99% 86% 54% 22% 5% -
121 SELIVANOV Adam 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
122 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
123 ARANA Massimo 100% 39% 6% - - - -
124 CHEN Felix 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% - -
125 KUO Evan 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
126 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
127 DECKER Evan M. 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
128 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -
129 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
130 TANG Adrian 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
131 MCLAUGHLIN Lloyd I. 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
132 BOUSSY Luciano 100% 33% 5% - - - -
133 STONE Henry J. 100% 95% 61% 22% 4% - -
134 WOODALL Ian L. 100% 38% 4% - - - -
134 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
136 FLYNN Ian 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
137 GNEUHS Sam 100% 40% 4% - - - -
138 BERNHARDT Hank 100% 11% - - - - -
138 KHIEW Jaren 100% 75% 32% 6% 1% - -
140 COLLUM Thomas 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.