Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TANG Luke - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
2 ZHANG jonathan - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
3 KROPP Wesley - - - - 3% 24% 72%
3 NOOL Aaron - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
5 CHEN Aiden - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
6 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
7 KUYKENDALL Logan 1% 8% 25% 34% 24% 7% 1%
9 MASKIN Mikhail - - 2% 21% 47% 30%
10 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12%
11 KIM Siwoo - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 1%
12 ZHOU Luke - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
13 MAXWELL Taiga 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
14 LAI Jaxon - 3% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2%
15 DAI Jason - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
16 LEE Asher - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
17 JIN Noah - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
18 LEE Taeryum - 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
19 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 1% 7% 28% 42% 22%
20 ZHENG Jasper - - 4% 29% 46% 21%
21 FANG Charlie - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
22 KIM Ian - 1% 8% 37% 41% 13%
23 KUYKENDALL Lucas 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
25 GORE Noah 8% 32% 37% 19% 4% - -
26 YAO Irvine - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
27 FEELY Samuel 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
28 HU Charles - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
29 YOU Emmanuel 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
30 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
31 ZHAO Brandon - 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
32 MAURAIS JP - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 2%
33 GARIKIPATI Tharan - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
34 ZHANG Renkui 5% 25% 40% 25% 5%
35 XU Yunfei(Dorian) 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
36 ZHOU Silvan 4% 25% 41% 25% 5%
37 FERNANDEZ ZAMBRANA Rafael Lucas 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
38 CHONG Nikolai 47% 42% 11% 1% - -
39 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 2% 12% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
40 TRIVULCE Ethan 3% 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
41 LEE Derek 1% 14% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
42 JIANG Adam - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
43 SHULL Matthias 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
44 KAZA Avyaan 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
45 GEIDE Silas 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
46 SOTO Lucas 5% 24% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
47 ZUNIGA Wyatt 13% 37% 34% 13% 3% - -
48 SAFAI Bardia 7% 36% 44% 12% 1% -
49 LEONARDIS Jordan 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
50 GONZALEZ-SOTO Wilson 42% 41% 15% 2% -
51 MORET Declan 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
52 AKULICH Adam 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
53 WENDLING Andrew 16% 46% 32% 6% - -
54 DOUGLAS James 80% 18% 2% - - - -
54 ZUNIGA Finn 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.