Event Results

Y-12 Men's Épée

Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCCPool Heatmap

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM Fredericksburg Convention Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
55 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TANG Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
2 ZHANG jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
3 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 10%
5 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
6 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
7 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
8 CAMP Liam Missing ID
9 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 32%
10 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
11 KIM Siwoo 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16% 1%
12 ZHOU Luke 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
13 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
14 LAI Jaxon 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
15 DAI Jason 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
16 LEE Asher 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
17 JIN Noah 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
18 LEE Taeryum 100% 100% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
19 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 100% 99% 93% 65% 23%
20 ZHENG Jasper 100% 100% 100% 95% 65% 20%
21 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
22 KIM Ian 100% 100% 99% 91% 53% 12%
23 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
24 YIN Henry Missing ID
25 GORE Noah 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
26 YAO Irvine 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
27 FEELY Samuel 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% -
28 HU Charles 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
29 YOU Emmanuel 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
30 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
31 ZHAO Brandon 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
32 MAURAIS JP 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 23% 2%
33 GARIKIPATI Tharan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
34 ZHANG Renkui 100% 97% 78% 40% 9%
35 XU Yunfei(Dorian) 100% 96% 73% 34% 6%
36 ZHOU Silvan 100% 96% 72% 32% 6%
37 FERNANDEZ ZAMBRANA Rafael Lucas 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
38 CHONG Nikolai 100% 53% 11% 1% - -
39 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
40 TRIVULCE Ethan 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
41 LEE Derek 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
42 JIANG Adam 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
43 SHULL Matthias 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
44 KAZA Avyaan 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
45 GEIDE Silas 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
46 SOTO Lucas 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
47 ZUNIGA Wyatt 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
48 SAFAI Bardia 100% 93% 57% 13% 1% -
49 LEONARDIS Jordan 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
50 GONZALEZ-SOTO Wilson 100% 59% 18% 3% -
51 MORET Declan 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
52 AKULICH Adam 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
53 WENDLING Andrew 100% 84% 38% 6% - -
54 DOUGLAS James 100% 21% 2% - - - -
54 ZUNIGA Finn 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -