October NAC

Div II Men's Épée

Monday, October 21, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
2 GIBSON Dylan A. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
3 TUCKER Owen J. 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
3 ZUBECK Dominic 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
5 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
6 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 24%
7 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
8 XIANG HONGYI 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
9 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
10 DIAS-LALCACA Kieran P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4%
11 PARK Jong-Eun 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
12 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
13 WANG William M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
14 CHUNG Thomas 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
15 WEISE Eli S. 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
16 WONG Joshua 100% 94% 64% 18% 2% -
17 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
17 DE JONG Thijmen J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 24%
19 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
20 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
21 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
22 KENT Matthew 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
23 STONE Henry J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
24 DYER Ian E. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
25 SMITH Jackson 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 15% 2%
26 LI Sui Lun (Phillip) 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
27 FAN Beichen 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
28 RAJPAL Sartaj S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 55% 14%
29 LAWLER Aidan 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
30 CRANE Matthew T. 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
31 SHIV Rishi 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
32 OSBORN Matthew W. 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
33 ROMERO Caleb E. 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
34 HONG James 100% 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
35 DIB Aaniss 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
36 LAI Coby 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
37 LI Brian X 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 23%
38 STEELE Frank A. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
39 RASMUSSEN Jack 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 4% -
40 VELO Juan Manuel H. 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
40 ALTUVE Alejandro J. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
42 BAKER Jefferson G. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
42 CHANG Luo Jixiu 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
42 KOPPE Alexander 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
45 PITZEL John E. 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
45 GOLDMAN Rami 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
47 KOH Tommy 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
48 DOUGLAS Colin F. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
49 JACKSON James 100% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
50 TAYLOR William 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
51 DENNIS Ethan 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
52 WEIST Spencer 100% 60% 18% 2% - - -
53 GREGORY Dean 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
54 COONROD Anthony (Tony) J. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
55 RHEA Eric L. 100% 75% 27% 3% - -
56 CHRISTIAN John R. 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
57 WILLIAMS Richard 100% 62% 15% 1% - -
58 BRUS Brian V. 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
59 KOPPE Benjamin 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
60 FITZGERALD Thomas R. 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
61 YAO Shun 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1%
61 GAURIAT Olivier 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
63 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% -
64 MILLER Lance W. 100% 91% 54% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.