Treasure Chest RYC/Y8

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHENG Matt 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
2 GALANG Aiden - - 2% 17% 45% 36%
3 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
3 YUNG Nathan - 2% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8%
5 SEVERT david 3% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2%
6 LAM Dylan 1% 10% 37% 38% 13% 1%
7 KIM ZOLLER Jude 2% 12% 30% 34% 19% 4%
8 LI Nathan 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
9 LIN Rongcheng Noah 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
10 PICACHE Merrick - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
11 HORIKAWA Xander 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
12 ANDERSON Bradley - 1% 7% 29% 44% 19%
13 HWANG Leo 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
14 SHIH Brandon 10% 31% 36% 18% 5% 1% -
15 ARVIND Dhruv 1% 14% 36% 35% 13% 2%
16 GIMELFARB Ethan - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
17 WOO Jonathan 19% 42% 30% 9% 1% -
18 GOURJI Roman 58% 35% 7% 1% - -
19 ZHANG Leon 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
20 WU Vincent 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
21 KOSUGI PALOCSAY Alexander 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
22 SHKALIKOV Denys - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 4%
23 HULETTE Kirin 9% 40% 37% 12% 2% -
24 LAM Nathan 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% -
25 TANG Harrison < 1% 9% 34% 41% 15% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.