Treasure Chest RYC/Y8

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHENG Matt 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 16% 3%
2 GALANG Aiden 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
3 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
3 YUNG Nathan 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
5 SEVERT david 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
6 LAM Dylan 100% 99% 89% 52% 14% 1%
7 KIM ZOLLER Jude 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4%
8 LI Nathan 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
9 LIN Rongcheng Noah 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
10 PICACHE Merrick 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
11 HORIKAWA Xander 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3%
12 ANDERSON Bradley 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19%
13 HWANG Leo 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
14 SHIH Brandon 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
15 ARVIND Dhruv 100% 99% 85% 49% 14% 2%
16 GIMELFARB Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
17 WOO Jonathan 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
18 GOURJI Roman 100% 42% 7% 1% - -
19 ZHANG Leon 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
20 WU Vincent 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
21 KOSUGI PALOCSAY Alexander 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
22 SHKALIKOV Denys 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
23 HULETTE Kirin 100% 91% 51% 14% 2% -
24 LAM Nathan 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% -
25 TANG Harrison 100% 100% 91% 57% 16% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.