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Event Results

Y-10 Men's Saber

Treasure Chest RYC/Y8Pool Heatmap

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM Treasure Island YMCA · San Francisco, CA, USA
25 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHENG Matt 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
2 GALANG Aiden 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
3 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
3 YUNG Nathan 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
5 SEVERT david 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
6 LAM Dylan 100% 99% 89% 52% 14% 1%
7 KIM ZOLLER Jude 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
8 LI Nathan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
9 LIN Rongcheng Noah 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
10 PICACHE Merrick 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
11 HORIKAWA Xander 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3%
12 ANDERSON Bradley 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
13 HWANG Leo 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
14 SHIH Brandon 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
15 ARVIND Dhruv 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 2%
16 GIMELFARB Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
17 WOO Jonathan 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
18 GOURJI Roman 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
19 ZHANG Leon 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
20 WU Vincent 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
21 KOSUGI PALOCSAY Alexander 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% - -
22 SHKALIKOV Denys 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
23 HULETTE Kirin 100% 91% 50% 14% 2% -
24 LAM Nathan 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% -
25 TANG Harrison 100% 100% 91% 57% 16% 2%