Treasure Chest RYC/Y8

Y-12 Men's Foil

Monday, January 5, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EVANS Desmond 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
2 LIU Zichen 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
3 YU Jinyuan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
3 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
5 SLAIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
6 AGARWAL Jagrav 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
7 LI Yunze 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
8 RAJ Yojith 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
9 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
10 DING Sam 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 11%
11 KAJITA Grayson 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 11%
12 YAN Aaron 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
13 MENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 92% 58% 16% 1%
14 JUE Lucas 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
15 SCHOR William 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
16 SITU Baiqin 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
17 LIN Zhengxuan 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
18 LI Mason 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
19 CHENG Alvin 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
20 MANANSALA Caleb 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 1%
21 LI Lief 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
22 BHOOMI Abhiram 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
23 NGUYEN Norris 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
24 LIN Dylan 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
25 ZHANG Bryant 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
26 ZHANG Charlie 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 1%
27 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
28 GEMBALA Theodore 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
29 HO Kasper 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
30 CHOI William 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
31 XIE Garrett 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
32 TIKHONOV Aleksandr 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3%
33 FUNG Caleb 100% 99% 89% 56% 16% 1%
34 FUNG Lucas 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
35 WANG Ian 100% 99% 90% 48% 11% 1% -
36 JACOBE Jakyn 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
37 ZHENG Ivan 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
38 WONG Sebastian 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
39 DONG YIKUN 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
40 ANDERSON Stellan 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% -
41 CHOU Noel 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
42 ZHONG Dexter 100% 100% 98% 78% 35% 6% -
43 HERNANDEZ Oliver 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
44 LUI Jamie 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
45 LEE Harry 100% 96% 72% 30% 5% -
46 SPICER-YOUAKIM Benjamin 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
47 WONG Kingston 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
48 SINGH Shiv 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
49 MAK Avery 100% 61% 11% 1% - - -
50 KIM Owen 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
51 COOK Owen 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
52 KAUDER Rourke 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
53 ZENG Cayden 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% -
54 YANG Jaron 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
55 PHILLIPS Julian 100% 69% 27% 5% - - -
56 LIM Xander-Zain 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
57 SHANG Jason 100% 59% 10% 1% - - -
58 LIN Cyrus 100% 64% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.