Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 VOO Lucas 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
3 GUO Woody 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
3 DENG Henry 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
5 WU Johnny y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
6 DODDAPANENI Aarav 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
7 LIN Daniel 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
8 DENG Destin 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% -
9 WANG Lucas 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3%
10 WONG Aaron 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
11 FU Nolan 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
12 DENISON Declan 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
13 NIKIFOROV Timofei 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
14 MAXU Tiger 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
15 GUO Luke 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
16 DENG Andes 100% 91% 58% 21% 3% -
17 HAMILTON Travis 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
18 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
19 NORTON Henry 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
20 SKILLENS Davin 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
21 CHENG Trevor 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
22 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
23 RONG Marcus 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
24 BAKKEN Archer 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
25 MENG Haoyi 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1%
26 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
27 SCHERZAY Ian 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 2%
28 SZETO Zachary 100% 83% 37% 9% 1% - -
29 WHITE Ryden 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
30 SARMIENTO Luke 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
31 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
32 WOO Lucas 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1%
33 CHARETTE Alex 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
34 GADHVI Darius 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 10%
35 FU Adrian 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
36 KIM Leejay 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
37 NUGENT Curtis 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
38 YU Brandon 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
39 MA Ryan 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
40 WANG Dylan 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
41 YUN Nicholas 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
42 OR Anson 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% -
43 PARRA Lucas 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
44 O’CONNOR Eve 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
45 ZHANG Luqi 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1%
46 TAMAYO-SARVER Daniel 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% -
47 CHEONG Cameron 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
48 KIM Remington 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
49 RAHMAN Ali 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
50 GE Austin 100% 57% 17% 3% - -
51 KOU Mason 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
52 COIMBATORE Dillon 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
53 CHIEN Ian 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
54 COLE Perrin 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
55 TOUSSAINT Wizard 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
56 HINOJOSA Alexis 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.