Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHANG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 31%
2 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 40%
3 CAO Kim 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
3 LIQUARD Lea 100% 100% 100% 95% 60% 14%
5 SHI Maxine 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8%
6 LONG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 52%
7 HWANG Sophie 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
8 SUNG Isabella 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
9 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
10 HU Ashley 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
11 DING Jolie 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
12 LI Cici 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
13 MISHEV Lila 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
14 NGUYEN Summer 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
15 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
16 BRIMMER Bella 100% 100% 88% 56% 20% 3%
17 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
18 CAI Joanna 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 16%
19 CHEN Cindy 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 37%
20 KIM Hyunbi 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
21 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
22 WANG Makayla 100% 100% 99% 91% 49% 9%
23 ZHANG angelina 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
24 HWANG Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 27%
25 BAEK Aileen 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
26 GUERVILLE Angelique 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
27 HAN yujie 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
28 MERRITT Annabelle 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
29 ENNIS Charlotte 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
30 SEO Yunseo 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
31 DENG Oscar 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 3% -
32 GUO YUKI 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
33 TAN Angela 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
34 CHANG Kylie 100% 100% 90% 59% 23% 4%
35 ASHIKHMINA Agniya 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 2%
36 CHENG Anna 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
37 DUDNICK Caitlin 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 5%
38 NGUYEN Amelia 100% 90% 54% 15% 2% -
39 HOWARD Sasha 100% 86% 45% 12% 1% -
40 WHITE CAREY Alberta 100% 90% 53% 14% 1% -
41 MORINAGA Mirai 100% 100% 89% 58% 21% 3%
42 SUTHERLAND Sadie 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
43 WOO Ava 100% 100% 90% 54% 11% 1%
44 LEE Alana 100% 97% 68% 23% 2% -
45 WU Melody 100% 94% 58% 15% 1% -
46 BI Mia 100% 98% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
47 ZHAO Audrey 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
48 TRAN Esme 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 2%
49 DUBIELZIG Beni 100% 82% 40% 8% - -
50 OLESKY Ellie 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 35% 6%
51 JOHNSTON Sabrina 100% 95% 62% 22% 4% - -
52 KIM Hyunji 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
53 DAVIS Layla 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
54 SONG Phoebe 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
55 WANG Jennifer 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
56 VIGNEUX Nolwenn 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
57 CUI Andrea 100% 99% 88% 51% 9% -
58 WEINSTEIN Karina 100% 88% 47% 8% - -
59 CHANG Carolyn 100% 84% 37% 6% - -
60 CHEN Lydia 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
61 FISCHER Luna 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3% -
62 WONG Chloe 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
63 WANG Kaylee 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
64 RO Manhattan 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
65 SAYONE Liliana 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
66 ZHOU kelsey 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
67 HONG Emory 100% 60% 15% 1% - -
69 YANG annie 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
70 FANG Lauren 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
71 MILLER Maple 100% 31% 4% - - -
72 SCHOTT Marine 100% 72% 27% 4% - -
72 BADDEPUDI Sreenika 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
74 LUC Madisyn 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
74 LABAZNIKOVA Alla 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
76 CORTES GUTIERREZ Deihanny Y 100% 71% 28% 5% 1% - -
78 SHACKLEFORD Alessandra 100% 15% 1% - - -
79 LEE Lauren 100% 38% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.