Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOOLEY Atticus - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
2 ZEYU wu - - - - 3% 25% 71%
3 LEE Nathan Uju - - - 4% 29% 66%
3 HAO Johnny - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
5 LUC Linkin - - - 2% 14% 45% 39%
6 XIAO Brayden - - - - 5% 30% 64%
7 CHAN Troy Devon - 3% 15% 35% 35% 13%
8 SLOAN Ethan - 7% 30% 41% 19% 1%
9 KIM Enoch - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
10 TENG Lucas - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
11 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) - - - 2% 20% 79%
12 GATTO Enzo P. - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
13 PI Edwin - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 2%
14 AN Chris - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
15 SUN Eon 3% 18% 39% 33% 7%
16 KIM Suin - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
17 LOPEZ Mateo - 1% 5% 21% 39% 28% 7%
18 XIE Justin - - 1% 10% 34% 41% 14%
19 TANG Morgan - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
20 FISCHER Noel - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
21 SUN Ryan - - - 3% 22% 49% 26%
22 CHEN Zhengming - 2% 13% 38% 40% 7%
23 WARD Carter 3% 22% 41% 27% 6% -
24 YANG Jake - 6% 26% 41% 23% 3%
25 ZHANG KAIQI - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
26 LIN Ethan - 3% 16% 39% 34% 7%
27 WONG Ron - 2% 12% 39% 47%
28 HAN Kyle - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
29 LIU Clarence 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
30 SAHA Aadi - 1% 15% 42% 33% 8% 1%
31 LVOVSKIY Roman - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
32 OU Rigel - - 4% 22% 44% 30%
33 KIM Leo - 4% 20% 40% 30% 5%
34 LO Elroy 18% 44% 30% 6% -
35 CHEN Aaron - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 2%
36 SAHA Aryan 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
37 GONZALEZ Paul - 1% 6% 23% 40% 26% 5%
38 FUGATE Logan 1% 11% 37% 37% 13% 2%
39 CHOI LIAM 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
40 DENG Richard 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 3%
41 RAPHAEL Pierson 28% 46% 21% 4% - -
42 QI Jeremy - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
43 DESAI Arthav - 5% 24% 39% 26% 6%
44 LEE Alexander 1% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
46 WANG James - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
47 KUNIMOTO Adam 2% 17% 37% 31% 10% 1% -
48 LIU Baichen (Matthew) 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
49 LEE Winston - 1% 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
50 QI Zach - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% -
51 WANG David - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
51 RHODES Bryce 6% 42% 37% 13% 2% -
53 SUN alan 2% 19% 49% 26% 5% - -
54 PARK Jayden - 6% 29% 43% 20% 1%
55 GUO Jonathan - 7% 29% 42% 21% 1%
56 SU Eric 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
57 KIM Noah 21% 47% 26% 6% - -
58 MOROAICA Seiku - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12%
59 HORN Diodorus 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
60 TONG Evan - 7% 25% 37% 25% 6% -
61 LEE Jayden Junhyuk - - 6% 31% 43% 17% 2%
62 GOTTSCHALK Theodore - 6% 27% 42% 22% 4%
63 LOVELL Jackson 54% 36% 8% 1% - -
64 NGUYEN Ethan 2% 21% 42% 28% 6% -
65 CHEUNG Evan 6% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
67 LAM Ethan 8% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
68 LEI Isaac 13% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
69 RAMOS Pious 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
70 WONG Alexander 6% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
71 HUNG Jaden 2% 16% 35% 32% 14% 2% -
72 WU Allen 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
73 LAMORI Matt 60% 33% 6% 1% - -
74 HIROTA Jackson 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
75 EKAMBARAM Rithik 21% 41% 29% 8% 1%
76 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 3% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1%
77 DING Orlando 4% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
78 HSIEH Maxwell 11% 38% 36% 13% 2% -
78 HSIEH Sebastian 5% 25% 41% 24% 5% -
80 CHEN Dylan 44% 44% 11% 1% - -
81 HIROTA Mitchell 40% 42% 15% 2% - -
82 JUNG Andres 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
83 LIU Paul 2% 19% 39% 31% 8% -
84 FERRING Theo 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
85 DOUGLAS Milo 78% 21% 2% - - -
86 LOH Dylan 26% 52% 20% 2% - - -
87 BODO John 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
88 XIN Ryan 5% 28% 40% 22% 5% - -
89 WU Dustin 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
90 PHAN Ethan 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
91 HSU Nicholas 2% 27% 49% 19% 2%
92 ZHANG Connery 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
93 HULL Eason 35% 48% 15% 2% - -
94 GUO ATTICUS 32% 43% 20% 4% - -
95 DUGGIREDDY Ronav 47% 44% 9% 1% - - -
96 CHEN Maorui 62% 32% 6% 1% - - -
97 CHAN Ethan 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.