Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOOLEY Atticus 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
2 ZEYU wu 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
3 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 HAO Johnny 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
5 LUC Linkin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
6 XIAO Brayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
7 CHAN Troy Devon 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
8 SLOAN Ethan 100% 100% 92% 62% 20% 1%
9 KIM Enoch 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
10 TENG Lucas 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
11 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
12 GATTO Enzo P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
13 PI Edwin 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 2%
14 AN Chris 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
15 SUN Eon 100% 97% 80% 40% 7%
16 KIM Suin 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 13%
17 LOPEZ Mateo 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 35% 7%
18 XIE Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 14%
19 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
20 FISCHER Noel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
21 SUN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 26%
22 CHEN Zhengming 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 7%
23 WARD Carter 100% 97% 75% 34% 7% -
24 YANG Jake 100% 100% 93% 67% 26% 3%
25 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
26 LIN Ethan 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 7%
27 WONG Ron 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
28 HAN Kyle 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
29 LIU Clarence 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
30 SAHA Aadi 100% 100% 98% 84% 42% 9% 1%
31 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
32 OU Rigel 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
33 KIM Leo 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 5%
34 LO Elroy 100% 82% 37% 7% -
35 CHEN Aaron 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 2%
36 SAHA Aryan 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
37 GONZALEZ Paul 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 5%
38 FUGATE Logan 100% 99% 88% 51% 15% 2%
39 CHOI LIAM 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 3%
40 DENG Richard 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 3%
41 RAPHAEL Pierson 100% 72% 26% 4% - -
42 QI Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 12%
43 DESAI Arthav 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
44 LEE Alexander 100% 99% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
46 WANG James 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 2%
47 KUNIMOTO Adam 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
48 LIU Baichen (Matthew) 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
49 LEE Winston 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 10%
50 QI Zach 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% -
51 WANG David 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
51 RHODES Bryce 100% 94% 52% 15% 2% -
53 SUN alan 100% 98% 79% 31% 5% - -
54 PARK Jayden 100% 100% 93% 64% 22% 1%
55 GUO Jonathan 100% 100% 93% 64% 22% 1%
56 SU Eric 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
57 KIM Noah 100% 79% 32% 6% - -
58 MOROAICA Seiku 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
59 HORN Diodorus 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
60 TONG Evan 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
61 LEE Jayden Junhyuk 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 19% 2%
62 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 4%
63 LOVELL Jackson 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
64 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 98% 76% 35% 7% -
65 CHEUNG Evan 100% 94% 63% 24% 5% -
67 LAM Ethan 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
68 LEI Isaac 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% -
69 RAMOS Pious 100% 91% 56% 18% 3% -
70 WONG Alexander 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
71 HUNG Jaden 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
72 WU Allen 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
73 LAMORI Matt 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
74 HIROTA Jackson 100% 77% 38% 10% 2% - -
75 EKAMBARAM Rithik 100% 79% 38% 9% 1%
76 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1%
77 DING Orlando 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% -
78 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% -
78 HSIEH Sebastian 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
80 CHEN Dylan 100% 56% 13% 1% - -
81 HIROTA Mitchell 100% 60% 18% 2% - -
82 JUNG Andres 100% 52% 13% 1% - - -
83 LIU Paul 100% 98% 79% 40% 9% -
84 FERRING Theo 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
85 DOUGLAS Milo 100% 22% 2% - - -
86 LOH Dylan 100% 74% 22% 2% - - -
87 BODO John 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
88 XIN Ryan 100% 95% 66% 27% 5% - -
89 WU Dustin 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 2% -
90 PHAN Ethan 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
91 HSU Nicholas 100% 98% 70% 21% 2%
92 ZHANG Connery 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
93 HULL Eason 100% 65% 17% 2% - -
94 GUO ATTICUS 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
95 DUGGIREDDY Ronav 100% 53% 9% 1% - - -
96 CHEN Maorui 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
97 CHAN Ethan 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.