Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Hannah - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
2 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena - - - 3% 21% 54% 22%
3 TALANDZEVICIUS Sophia - 1% 9% 37% 54%
3 LI Anna - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 14%
5 LEE Eden - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
6 CHEN Alina - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
7 YU Julie - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
7 BROWN Marie - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
9 LEE Gloria Y. - - - - 3% 25% 71%
10 SUN Milly - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
11 NGUYEN Renee - - - 2% 18% 46% 34%
12 KROPP Anne (Charlie) - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
13 LI Alice - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
14 OLELE Ifechi - - - 4% 31% 65%
15 LAW Mila - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
16 LI Ariel - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
17 BURROWS Beatrice - - - 6% 30% 45% 18%
18 WANG Olivia - 1% 7% 33% 49% 11%
19 ANEZIOKORO Zahra - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
20 CHEN Laila 1% 9% 31% 37% 19% 3%
21 ALLIEVI Simone - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
22 VILLER Alice - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 4%
23 FAN Joy - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
24 LEE Kate - - 5% 24% 41% 25% 5%
25 DEFENSOR Ella 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
26 MOKRETSOV Leah - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
27 SHEIKH PAREE - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
28 YAO Chloe - - 1% 12% 40% 37% 10%
29 KWON Claire 10% 35% 38% 15% 2%
30 VOSKOV Olivia - - - - 5% 30% 64%
31 GOTSABINA Elizabeth 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
32 QI Chelsie 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
33 BURT Emmalyne Grace - - 2% 12% 35% 39% 13%
34 XU Aasta - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 8%
35 YU Chloe - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
36 ZHANG Ashley - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 8%
37 CHOI Arianna - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
39 TISMENSKY Abigail - - - 3% 19% 43% 35%
40 WU Evelyn 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 7% -
41 HAN Emma - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 2%
42 SILVA Hailey 1% 10% 31% 38% 19% 2%
43 CHAKRAPANI Tara 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
44 CHEN Reina 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
45 CHEN Stephanie - 3% 14% 32% 34% 14% 2%
46 MAEDJE Abigail 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
47 YOUN Emily - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
48 KIM Charlotte 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
48 LI Xier - - 5% 21% 40% 28% 6%
50 PARKE Jaime 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
51 RAJ Indra - 4% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
52 DU Andria - 3% 19% 38% 31% 9%
53 YOON Cora - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
54 AXELROD Charlotte - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 3%
55 DONG Iris - - 2% 13% 36% 37% 11%
56 ORDORICA Abra - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
57 SHUKLA Annika 4% 22% 36% 26% 10% 2% -
58 FURMAN Elizabeth - 7% 29% 44% 18% 2%
59 ZHENG Kristen 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
60 NIKOLLA Vivienne 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
61 BOVKUN-GRYTSENCKO Laura 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 2% -
62 KRAVCHENKO Tatyana 12% 37% 34% 14% 2% - -
63 LAI Juliet 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
64 CHI Evelyn 44% 42% 13% 1% - -
65 YOUNG Penelope - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
66 NAPOLI Eleanor 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
66 CHALLAMEL Heloise 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% < 1% -
68 YIN Elaine - 5% 28% 41% 22% 4% -
69 TISMENSKY Avital - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
70 XI Emily - 3% 29% 41% 22% 5% -
71 HUFF Elizabeth - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
72 GOFMAN Anastasia - 5% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
73 LEE Zoe 7% 31% 42% 18% 2% -
74 TANG Jacquelyn 2% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
74 LIU Brinley 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
76 ZHANG Sophia 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
77 JU Jennifer - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
78 JIANG Alexandra - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
79 MEGGERS Arya 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
80 KAKANI Aditi - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
81 KOSIM Irene 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
82 LI Allison - 1% 19% 42% 29% 8% 1%
83 HAGERMAN Siona 1% 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
84 KHUDAKIVSKA Ariana 11% 40% 37% 11% 1% -
85 JACKSON Sophia 2% 17% 39% 35% 8%
86 SELASSIE Semara 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
87 MAO Faith 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
88 WANG Katherine 15% 43% 32% 9% 1% - -
89 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 2% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
90 KUPPUSAMY Mahaa - 7% 27% 39% 22% 3%
91 KIM Abigail 2% 16% 37% 33% 12% 1%
92 TANG Ningyuan - - 3% 26% 43% 24% 4%
93 ZHU YUNXI 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
94 SIU Mila - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 4%
95 MARKS Madeline - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
96 SUN Nicole - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
97 AZARYAN Diana 17% 40% 33% 10% 1%
98 XIE ANDREA - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 1%
99 KWON Allison 2% 16% 43% 32% 7% 1% -
100 BOUTSIKARIS Asha 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
101 CHONG Emma 17% 44% 30% 8% 1% -
102 CHOI Elina 1% 10% 35% 40% 12% 1% -
103 XU Alivia 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
104 DING Iris Siyue 19% 42% 30% 8% 1%
105 KIM Kate 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
106 WANG Bojun 44% 49% 7% - - - -
107 BEREKNYEI Sophia 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
108 ILYAS Daanya 2% 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
110 CHEN Emily 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
111 DARMAWAN Thea 51% 40% 9% 1% - - -
112 CHANG Hannah 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
113 XU Yunshu 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
114 WANG Emily 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
115 YULO Margaux 40% 47% 12% 1% - - -
116 GRIGORYAN Amaliya - 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
117 GRUDZINSKI Josephine 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
117 YANG Arianna 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
117 NEGRUT Sabina 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
120 WANG Jenny wang 35% 43% 18% 4% - - -
120 LACOSTE Beatrice 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
122 WINTON Lyra 16% 49% 29% 6% - - -
123 GARZON Laura 46% 42% 11% 1% - -
124 BUNCH Helena 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
125 BUNCH Halle 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
126 KAUR Harjas 63% 31% 6% - - -
127 VAZIRANI Jiya 44% 51% 5% - - - -
128 ZHAO Rachel 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
129 ILYAS Lyla 44% 41% 14% 2% - - -
130 BURKE Claire 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
130 PREDTECHENSKY Alisa - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
132 MORET Teagan 24% 40% 26% 9% 2% - -
135 MEHMETOGLU Mina 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
136 BIGGS Posie 3% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
137 MOON Leah 30% 49% 19% 3% - - -
138 TUMULA Anima 45% 42% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.