Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Hannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
2 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 22%
3 TALANDZEVICIUS Sophia 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 LI Anna 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
5 LEE Eden 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
6 CHEN Alina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
7 YU Julie 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
7 BROWN Marie 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14%
9 LEE Gloria Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
10 SUN Milly 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
11 NGUYEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 34%
12 KROPP Anne (Charlie) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
13 LI Alice 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
14 OLELE Ifechi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
15 LAW Mila 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
16 LI Ariel 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
17 BURROWS Beatrice 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 18%
18 WANG Olivia 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 11%
19 ANEZIOKORO Zahra 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
20 CHEN Laila 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
21 ALLIEVI Simone 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
22 VILLER Alice 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
23 FAN Joy 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
24 LEE Kate 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
25 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
26 MOKRETSOV Leah 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
27 SHEIKH PAREE 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
28 YAO Chloe 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47% 10%
29 KWON Claire 100% 90% 55% 17% 2%
30 VOSKOV Olivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
31 GOTSABINA Elizabeth 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
32 QI Chelsie 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
33 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
34 XU Aasta 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 8%
35 YU Chloe 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
36 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
37 CHOI Arianna 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
39 TISMENSKY Abigail 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
40 WU Evelyn 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
41 HAN Emma 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 22% 2%
42 SILVA Hailey 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
43 CHAKRAPANI Tara 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
44 CHEN Reina 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
45 CHEN Stephanie 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
46 MAEDJE Abigail 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
47 YOUN Emily 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
48 KIM Charlotte 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 2% -
48 LI Xier 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
50 PARKE Jaime 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 3% -
51 RAJ Indra 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 12% 1%
52 DU Andria 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 9%
53 YOON Cora 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
54 AXELROD Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 3%
55 DONG Iris 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
56 ORDORICA Abra 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
57 SHUKLA Annika 100% 96% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
58 FURMAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 93% 64% 20% 2%
59 ZHENG Kristen 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
60 NIKOLLA Vivienne 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
61 BOVKUN-GRYTSENCKO Laura 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
62 KRAVCHENKO Tatyana 100% 88% 50% 16% 3% - -
63 LAI Juliet 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
64 CHI Evelyn 100% 56% 14% 1% - -
65 YOUNG Penelope 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
66 NAPOLI Eleanor 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
66 CHALLAMEL Heloise 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% < 1% -
68 YIN Elaine 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 5% -
69 TISMENSKY Avital 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
70 XI Emily 100% 100% 97% 69% 27% 5% -
71 HUFF Elizabeth 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
72 GOFMAN Anastasia 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11% 1%
73 LEE Zoe 100% 93% 62% 20% 2% -
74 TANG Jacquelyn 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
74 LIU Brinley 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 6% -
76 ZHANG Sophia 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6% -
77 JU Jennifer 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
78 JIANG Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
79 MEGGERS Arya 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
80 KAKANI Aditi 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
81 KOSIM Irene 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
82 LI Allison 100% 100% 99% 79% 38% 9% 1%
83 HAGERMAN Siona 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 5% -
84 KHUDAKIVSKA Ariana 100% 89% 48% 12% 1% -
85 JACKSON Sophia 100% 98% 81% 42% 8%
86 SELASSIE Semara 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
87 MAO Faith 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
88 WANG Katherine 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% - -
89 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 100% 98% 76% 37% 9% 1%
90 KUPPUSAMY Mahaa 100% 100% 92% 65% 26% 3%
91 KIM Abigail 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
92 TANG Ningyuan 100% 100% 100% 97% 70% 27% 4%
93 ZHU YUNXI 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
94 SIU Mila 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 22% 4%
95 MARKS Madeline 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
96 SUN Nicole 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
97 AZARYAN Diana 100% 83% 43% 11% 1%
98 XIE ANDREA 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 1%
99 KWON Allison 100% 98% 82% 39% 7% 1% -
100 BOUTSIKARIS Asha 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% -
101 CHONG Emma 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% -
102 CHOI Elina 100% 99% 89% 54% 14% 1% -
103 XU Alivia 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
104 DING Iris Siyue 100% 81% 39% 8% 1%
105 KIM Kate 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
106 WANG Bojun 100% 56% 7% - - - -
107 BEREKNYEI Sophia 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
108 ILYAS Daanya 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 2% -
110 CHEN Emily 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
111 DARMAWAN Thea 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
112 CHANG Hannah 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
113 XU Yunshu 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
114 WANG Emily 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
115 YULO Margaux 100% 60% 13% 1% - - -
116 GRIGORYAN Amaliya 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12% 1%
117 GRUDZINSKI Josephine 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
117 YANG Arianna 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
117 NEGRUT Sabina 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
120 WANG Jenny wang 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
120 LACOSTE Beatrice 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
122 WINTON Lyra 100% 84% 35% 6% - - -
123 GARZON Laura 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
124 BUNCH Helena 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
125 BUNCH Halle 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
126 KAUR Harjas 100% 37% 6% - - -
127 VAZIRANI Jiya 100% 56% 5% - - - -
128 ZHAO Rachel 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
129 ILYAS Lyla 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
130 BURKE Claire 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
130 PREDTECHENSKY Alisa 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
132 MORET Teagan 100% 76% 37% 10% 2% - -
135 MEHMETOGLU Mina 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
136 BIGGS Posie 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
137 MOON Leah 100% 70% 22% 3% - - -
138 TUMULA Anima 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.