Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SAUNIER Cameron - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
2 CHA Patrick - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
3 LEE Aiden - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
3 ZHAI Derrick - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
5 MIDYANY Evan - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
6 DODIN Daniel M. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
7 MIDYANY Ryan - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
8 PARKE Nathaniel - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
9 BOUDREAUX James - - - - 1% 15% 84%
10 CUELLAR Markus - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
11 BORAN Brooks - 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
11 VAN RIET Stefan - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
13 GRIGGS Kaiden 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
14 LUO Alexander - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
15 NG Nico - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
16 LEE Benjamin - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
17 CHEN Isaac Zhi - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 13%
18 CHANEY Charles - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
19 GORDEEV Peter - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 15%
20 YU Jason - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
21 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
22 WANG Marcus - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
23 SOLARZ Arthur - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
24 LEECH Braedan - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
25 YI Nathan - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
26 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
27 AYOTTE James - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
28 YANG Gary - - 1% 4% 18% 41% 36%
29 LEE DoWon - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 33%
30 ABEND James 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
31 DOAN Christopher 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
32 TANG Daniel - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
33 KIM Gene - - - - 4% 27% 69%
34 ZHU Yiming - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
35 SUH Aiden - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 19%
36 ZHAI Junqi - - 2% 14% 36% 35% 12%
37 ADDYSON Aidan - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
38 KROPP Wesley - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
38 KABA Elias - - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
40 CHEN Cameron - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
41 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
42 NOOL Alexander - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
43 CHEN Aiden 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
44 RAMEY Daylon - 1% 6% 22% 39% 27% 6%
45 CHANG Matthew - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
46 CHO Alex - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
47 BAJAJ Nakul - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 20%
48 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
49 JIANG Harry 1% 9% 25% 34% 22% 7% 1%
50 PENG Yue - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
51 CHEN Evan - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
52 HANTOV Adrian - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
53 STRAFFORD Andrew 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
54 CARPENTER Touma S. 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
55 HENNESSY Levon - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
56 BHANDARE Veer - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
57 MOSLEY Wally - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
58 MEHROTRA Neel - - - 2% 16% 44% 37%
59 CHAN Kyle Si Tin - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
60 SALLAI Abel 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
61 ARMSTRONG Payson 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
62 SONG Aidan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
63 SUNKARA Vishnu 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1%
64 TSEN Mason 4% 25% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
66 DELONG Joshua - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
67 MIKHAIL Lucas - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
68 LOPATIN Sergei 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
69 ZHANG Chaoyi（Joey） - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
70 BAYUS Oliver - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
71 KICIMAN Leo 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
72 THOMAS Andrew - 2% 10% 29% 38% 20% 2%
73 LEE Leo 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
74 YAKHNIS Seth - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
75 TOPRANI Valmik 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
76 KIM Julian - 4% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
76 KONG Ethan 2% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
78 ZHENG Jason - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
79 SZCZAPA Lukas - - 2% 12% 31% 39% 16%
80 HURLEY Michael 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
81 HUR Tyson 14% 42% 32% 10% 2% - -
82 GUO Benjamin 1% 6% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
83 LI Tyrese 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
84 CHAN Ian 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
85 MCCABE Kian 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
86 SHAFFER Tyler - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
86 SAAD Peter 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
88 TUMULA Arihaan - 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1%
89 KATS Brandon - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
90 KIM Doyun 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
91 KELLY Blair 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
92 ATKINS Elan 28% 44% 22% 5% 1% - -
93 GATEWOOD Michael - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
94 KIM Louie 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
95 YAO Aiden 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
96 ALI Rayan 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
96 JHA Adarsh 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
96 PIMIENTO Tomas 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
99 CHO Adrian - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
100 HUDSON Declan 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
101 KENDLER Micah 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
102 BANG Dylan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
103 HOLBROOK Silas 14% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
104 FEELY Benjamin 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
104 KUYKENDALL Logan 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
106 KHERSONSKY Robert 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
107 PETERS Keane 3% 18% 34% 31% 13% 2%
108 ARMSTRONG TyLee - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
109 YAO Ryan - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
110 PAI Marcus - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
111 HALE Bradley 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
112 PERI Mourya 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
113 BROSNAN Solomon - 5% 19% 36% 30% 10% -
114 CHEN Tianjun - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
115 MA Nolan 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
116 CHEN Hayden 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
117 LEE Anton - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
118 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
119 PENG Ethan 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
120 MAXWELL Sheito 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
121 GOVOROV Alexander 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
122 CASH William Li 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
123 CHAWLA Aarav - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
124 ZAGRAN Ivan 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
125 WELCH Sebastian 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
126 KHAVKIN Alexander 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
127 BENNETT Pierce 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
128 DAVIS Kai 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
129 KUBBA Sauvil 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
130 CAVALLARO Sebastian 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
131 CHONG Eden 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
132 PARY Jean Pierre 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
133 HAM Ian 18% 40% 30% 11% 2% - -
134 KO Ethan 6% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
135 ALPSOY Emir 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
136 SHEYDIN Barry 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
137 FREEMAN Jake Matthew 1% 10% 27% 34% 22% 6% 1%
138 MEDISETTI Arjun 9% 36% 36% 15% 3% -
138 LAU LUCAS - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 4%
140 LIN Haley - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 1%
140 MERHEJ Sean 15% 43% 31% 9% 1% - -
142 SCOTTODIMARCO James 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
142 SAAD Noah 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
144 NOOL Aaron 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
145 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 11% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
146 GALIOTE James 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
147 ZHANG Aiden 2% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
148 SLAVIN Tamir 39% 44% 14% 2% - - -
149 JIANG Aidan 21% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
150 TANEJA ARNAV 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
151 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
152 BARTON Christian 46% 41% 12% 1% - - -
153 SPALDING Elihu - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
153 PETROVSKI Kiril 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
155 MCGRATH Hogan 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
156 WILLIAMS Gavin 3% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
157 WILKERSON Tobias 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
157 WU MiEr 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
159 HONG Ethen 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
160 CIANCHETTA David 50% 38% 11% 2% - - -
161 HUANG Max 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
162 LAI Jayden 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
162 WU Jiachen 2% 17% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
164 PATEL Tej 22% 48% 25% 5% - - -
165 WEI Jayden 17% 37% 31% 12% 3% - -
166 MILLER Balthazar 43% 42% 13% 2% - - -
167 SIN William 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
168 WANG Marcus 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
169 CHEN Jayden A 37% 42% 18% 4% - -
170 FENG Xinmin 28% 44% 22% 5% - - -
171 LEE Ryan 14% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
172 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
173 KOC Dogukan 65% 30% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.