Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
2 CHA Patrick 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
3 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
3 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
5 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
6 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 29%
7 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
8 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
9 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
10 CUELLAR Markus 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 28%
11 BORAN Brooks 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
11 VAN RIET Stefan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
13 GRIGGS Kaiden 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
14 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
15 NG Nico 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
16 LEE Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
17 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
18 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
19 GORDEEV Peter 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
20 YU Jason 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
21 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
22 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
23 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 13%
24 LEECH Braedan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
25 YI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
26 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
27 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
28 YANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
29 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
30 ABEND James 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
31 DOAN Christopher 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
32 TANG Daniel 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
33 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
34 ZHU Yiming 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
35 SUH Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
36 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
37 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
38 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
38 KABA Elias 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
40 CHEN Cameron 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
41 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3%
42 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
43 CHEN Aiden 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
44 RAMEY Daylon 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
45 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
46 CHO Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
47 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
48 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
49 JIANG Harry 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
50 PENG Yue 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
51 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
52 HANTOV Adrian 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
53 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
54 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
55 HENNESSY Levon 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
56 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
57 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
58 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 37%
59 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 6%
60 SALLAI Abel 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
61 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
62 SONG Aidan 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
63 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
64 TSEN Mason 100% 96% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
66 DELONG Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
67 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
68 LOPATIN Sergei 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
69 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
70 BAYUS Oliver 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
71 KICIMAN Leo 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
72 THOMAS Andrew 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
73 LEE Leo 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
74 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
75 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
76 KIM Julian 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 13% 1%
76 KONG Ethan 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
78 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
79 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
80 HURLEY Michael 100% 93% 67% 31% 9% 1% -
81 HUR Tyson 100% 86% 44% 12% 2% - -
82 GUO Benjamin 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
83 LI Tyrese 100% 66% 25% 6% 1% - -
84 CHAN Ian 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
85 MCCABE Kian 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
86 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
86 SAAD Peter 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
88 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
89 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
90 KIM Doyun 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
91 KELLY Blair 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
92 ATKINS Elan 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% - -
93 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
94 KIM Louie 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
95 YAO Aiden 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
96 ALI Rayan 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
96 JHA Adarsh 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
96 PIMIENTO Tomas 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
99 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
100 HUDSON Declan 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
101 KENDLER Micah 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
102 BANG Dylan 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
103 HOLBROOK Silas 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
104 FEELY Benjamin 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
104 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
106 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
107 PETERS Keane 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
108 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
109 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
110 PAI Marcus 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
111 HALE Bradley 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
112 PERI Mourya 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
113 BROSNAN Solomon 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10% -
114 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
115 MA Nolan 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
116 CHEN Hayden 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
117 LEE Anton 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
118 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
119 PENG Ethan 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
120 MAXWELL Sheito 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
121 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
122 CASH William Li 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
123 CHAWLA Aarav 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
124 ZAGRAN Ivan 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
125 WELCH Sebastian 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
126 KHAVKIN Alexander 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
127 BENNETT Pierce 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
128 DAVIS Kai 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
129 KUBBA Sauvil 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
130 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
131 CHONG Eden 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
132 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
133 HAM Ian 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
134 KO Ethan 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
135 ALPSOY Emir 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
136 SHEYDIN Barry 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
137 FREEMAN Jake Matthew 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
138 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% -
138 LAU LUCAS 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
140 LIN Haley 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 1%
140 MERHEJ Sean 100% 85% 42% 11% 1% - -
142 SCOTTODIMARCO James 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
142 SAAD Noah 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
144 NOOL Aaron 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
145 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
146 GALIOTE James 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
147 ZHANG Aiden 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
148 SLAVIN Tamir 100% 61% 16% 2% - - -
149 JIANG Aidan 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
150 TANEJA ARNAV 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
151 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
152 BARTON Christian 100% 54% 13% 2% - - -
153 SPALDING Elihu 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
153 PETROVSKI Kiril 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
155 MCGRATH Hogan 100% 93% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
156 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
157 WILKERSON Tobias 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
157 WU MiEr 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
159 HONG Ethen 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
160 CIANCHETTA David 100% 50% 13% 2% - - -
161 HUANG Max 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
162 LAI Jayden 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
162 WU Jiachen 100% 98% 81% 40% 11% 1% -
164 PATEL Tej 100% 78% 30% 5% - - -
165 WEI Jayden 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
166 MILLER Balthazar 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
167 SIN William 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
168 WANG Marcus 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
169 CHEN Jayden A 100% 63% 22% 4% - -
170 FENG Xinmin 100% 72% 28% 5% 1% - -
171 LEE Ryan 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
172 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
173 KOC Dogukan 100% 35% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.